Global Carbon Budget 2022

A newer version of this dataset is available. The latest version available on Openclimatedata is 2024.

Published: November 11, 2022

Citation: Friedlingstein et al., Global Carbon Budget 2022. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-4811-2022

Data: Global Carbon Project. (2022). Supplemental data of Global Carbon Budget 2022 (Version 1.0) [Data set]. Global Carbon Project. https://doi.org/10.18160/gcp-2022

Changelog:
  • 2021 total anthropogenic CO₂ emission (including the cement carbonation sink) of 10.9 ± 0.8 GtC/year (40.0 ± 2.9 GtCO₂)
  • for 2021, fossil emissions increased by 5.1 % relative to 2020 to 10.1 ± 0.5 GtC/year (9.9 ± 0.5 GtC/year when the cement carbonation sink is included)
  • 2021 global atmospheric CO₂ concentration: 414.71 ± 0.1 ppm
  • remaining carbon budget for a 50 % likelihood to limit global warming to 1.5, 1.7, and 2°C has reduced to 105 GtC (380 GtCO₂), 200 GtC (730 GtCO₂), and 335 GtC (1230 GtCO₂)

Terrestrial CO₂ sink (positive values represent a flux from the atmosphere to the land)

All values in billion tonnes of carbon per year (GtC/yr), for the globe. For values in billion tonnes of carbon dioxide per year (GtCO₂/yr), multiply the numbers below by 3.664.
1 billion tonnes C = 1 petagram of carbon (10^15 gC) = 1 gigatonne C = 3.664 billion tonnes of CO₂
Methods: The terrestrial sink (uncertainty of ±0.5 GtC/yr on average) is estimated from the average of 16 Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (calculated from simulation S2; see Appendix C4.1 in Friedlingstein et al. 2022) that reproduce the observed mean total land uptake of the 1990s.
Cite as: Friedlingstein et al. (2022; see summary tab).
Cite individual estimates as:
  • CABLE-POP Haverd, V., Smith, B., Nieradzik, L., Briggs, P. R., Woodgate, W., Trudinger, C. M., Canadell, J. G., and Cuntz, M.: A new version of the CABLE land surface model (Subversion revision r4601) incorporating land use and land cover change, woody vegetation demography, and a novel optimisation-based approach to plant coordination of photosynthesis, Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 2995-3026, 2018.
  • CLASSIC Melton, J. R., Arora, V. K., Wisernig-cojoc, E., Seiler, C., Fortier, M. and Chan, E.: CLASSIC v1.0: the open-source community successor to the Canadian Land Surface Scheme ( CLASS ) and the Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model ( CTEM ) – Part 1: Model framework and site-level performance, , 2825–2850, 2020.
  • CLM5.0 Lawrence, D., Fisher, R., Koven, C., Oleson, K., Swenson, S., et al.: The Community Land Model version 5: Description of new features, benchmarking, and impact of forcing uncertainty, JAMES, accepted, 2019
  • DLEM Tian, H., G. Chen, C. Lu, X. Xu, D. J. Hayes, W. Ren, S. Pan, D.N. Huntzinger, S.C. Wofsy: North American terrestrial CO₂ uptake largely offset by CH4 and N2O emissions: Toward a full accounting of the greenhouse gas budget, Climatic Change, 129:423-426, 2015
  • IBIS Yuan WP, Liu D, Dong WJ, Liu SG, Zhou GS, Yu GR, Zhao TB, Feng JM, Ma ZG, Chen JQ, Chen Y, Chen SP, Han SJ, Huang JP, Li LH, Liu HZ, Liu SM, Ma MG, Wang YF, Xia JZ, Xu WF, Zhang Q, Zhao XQ, Zhao L. 2014. Multiyear precipitation reduction strongly decreases carbon uptake over northern China. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 119, 881-896.
  • ISAM Meiyappan, P., Jain, A. K., and House, J. I.: Increased influence of nitrogen limitation on CO₂ emissions from future land use and land use change, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29, 1524-1548, 2015.
  • JSBACH Reick, C. H., Gayler, V., Goll, D., Hagemann, S., Heidkamp, M., Nabel, J. E. M. S., Raddatz, T., Roeckner, E., Schnur, R., and Wilkenskjeld, S.: JSBACH 3 - The land component of the MPI Earth System Model: documentation of version 3.2, https://doi.org/10.17617/2.3279802, 2021.
  • JULES-ES Wiltshire, A.,Burke, E., Chadburn, S., Jones, C., Cox, P., Davies-Barnard, T., Friedlingstein, P., Harper, A., Liddicoat, S., Sitch, S., Zaehle, S
  • LPJ-GUESS Smith, B., Warlind, D., Arneth, A., Hickler, T., Leadley, P., Siltberg, J., and Zaehle, S.: Implications of incorporating N cycling and N limitations on primary production in an individual-based dynamic vegetation model, Biogeosciences, 11, 2027-2054, 2014.
  • LPJ Poulter, B., Frank, D. C., Hodson, E. L., and Zimmermann, N. E.: Impacts of land cover and climate data selection on understanding terrestrial carbon dynamics and the CO₂ airborne fraction, Biogeosciences, 8, 2027-2036, 2011.
  • LPX-Bern Lienert, S. and Joos, F.: A Bayesian ensemble data assimilation to constrain model parameters and land-use carbon emissions, Biogeosciences, 15, 2909-2930, 2018.
  • OCNv2 Zaehle, S. and Friend, A. D.: Carbon and nitrogen cycle dynamics in the O-CN land surface model: 1. Model description, site-scale evaluation, and sensitivity to parameter estimates, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 24, GB1005, 2010
  • ORCHIDEEv3 Vuichard, N., Messina, P., Luyssaert, S., Guenet, B., Zaehle, S., Ghattas, J., Ipsl, L. and Paris-saclay, U.: Accounting for carbon and nitrogen interactions in the global terrestrial ecosystem model ORCHIDEE ( trunk version , rev 4999 ): multi-scale evaluation of gross primary production, , 4751–4779, 2019.
  • SDGVM Walker, A. P., Quaife, T., van Bodegom, P. M., De Kauwe, M. G., Keenan, T. F., Joiner, J., Lomas, M. R., MacBean, N., Xu, C. G., Yang, X. J., and Woodward, F. I.: The impact of alternative trait-scaling hypotheses for the maximum photosynthetic carboxylation rate (V-cmax) on global gross primary production, New Phytologist, 215, 1370-1386, 2017.
  • VISIT Kato, E., Kinoshita, T., Ito, A., Kawamiya, M. and Yamagata, Y.: Evaluation of spatially explicit emission scenario of land-use change and biomass burning using a process-based biogeochemical model, J. Land Use Sci., 8(1), 104–122, doi:10.1080/1747423x.2011.628705, 2013.
  • YIBs Yue, X. and Unger, N.: The Yale Interactive terrestrial Biosphere model version 1.0: description , evaluation and implementation into NASA GISS, , 2399–2417, doi:10.5194/gmd-8-2399-2015, 2015.

GCB

GCB

1960
1980
2000
2020
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
GtC

Unit GtC/year

YearGCB
19590.4018
19601.2341
19610.8398
19621.3222
19630.8719
19641.6862
19650.3402
19661.3953
19671.6758
19682.4037
19690.7125
19700.7129
19712.4497
19721.2525
19731.8906
19744.1864
19752.6450
19762.9889
19771.5083
19782.7807
19791.4202
19800.4116
19812.2200
19821.6699
19830.2813
19842.8866
19852.7657
19862.3069
19870.3527
19882.0605
19893.5696
19902.3323
19912.2536
19922.2556
19932.8607
19941.4663
19951.7722
19963.3983
19973.1851
19981.5057
19993.5941
20003.7468
20012.3845
20020.9855
20032.3123
20043.4660
20051.8784
20063.1143
20072.7091
20083.6298
20092.9857
20103.3215
20114.1091
20122.3155
20133.5585
20143.6634
20152.0087
20162.6935
20173.5550
20183.6474
20193.0419
20203.1051
20213.4503

Individual Models

CABLE-POP

1960
1980
2000
2020
0
1
2
3
4
GtC

CLASSIC

1960
1980
2000
2020
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
GtC

CLM5.0

1960
1980
2000
2020
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
GtC

DLEM

1960
1980
2000
2020
1
2
3
4
GtC

IBIS

1960
1980
2000
2020
0
1
2
3
4
GtC

ISAM

1960
1980
2000
2020
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
GtC

JSBACH

1960
1980
2000
2020
0
1
2
3
4
5
GtC

JULES-ES

1960
1980
2000
2020
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
GtC

LPJ

1960
1980
2000
2020
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
GtC

LPJ-GUESS

1960
1980
2000
2020
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
GtC

LPX-Bern

1960
1980
2000
2020
-1
0
1
2
3
GtC

OCNv2

1960
1980
2000
2020
1
2
3
4
GtC

ORCHIDEE-v3

1960
1980
2000
2020
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
GtC

SDGVM

1960
1980
2000
2020
-1
0
1
2
3
4
GtC

VISIT

1960
1980
2000
2020
0
1
2
3
4
5
GtC

YIBs

1960
1980
2000
2020
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
GtC

Multi-model mean

1960
1980
2000
2020
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
GtC

Model Spread (sd)

1960
1980
2000
2020
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
1.1
1.2
GtC

Unit GtC/year

YearCABLE-POPCLASSICCLM5.0DLEMIBISISAMJSBACHJULES-ESLPJLPJ-GUESSLPX-BernOCNv2ORCHIDEE-v3SDGVMVISITYIBsMulti-model meanModel Spread (sd)
1959−0.10710.06581.26970.41290.41391.48880.7463−0.0407−0.6213−0.93380.38040.91760.61880.14641.37300.29830.40180.6725
19602.17431.31731.67081.67531.31451.42711.85690.81390.45190.82190.77731.11621.37080.42841.64800.88161.23410.5068
19611.64730.86700.98621.33950.71010.93141.38250.3622−0.22970.99300.51751.41680.8968−0.60251.47000.74900.83980.6091
19621.85001.06371.26881.84460.82341.39771.98411.89320.21041.82530.21981.73151.6612−0.34472.32401.40281.32220.7490
19631.49000.18720.99631.16731.02481.20101.24211.7061−0.51350.00770.02591.46530.70300.71651.93200.59890.87190.6784
19642.32771.31932.38011.76521.50941.73922.00172.91820.91452.45541.14301.95441.28030.26411.68901.31801.68620.6614
19651.6802−0.93201.15240.6358−0.30531.43900.80291.5727−0.7658−0.1837−1.18110.66390.9908−1.80811.30300.37870.34021.0771
19661.72282.26711.55801.59271.38481.50572.30251.04200.35571.50040.89871.53951.31681.60561.20800.52401.39530.5226
19671.95610.91221.80102.18771.70041.38621.53022.80641.23121.66991.12172.65650.99491.59421.69201.57281.67580.5336
19682.22492.73502.29162.74252.53382.18261.54733.12452.58143.73881.97612.79931.62272.33242.59501.43192.40370.5965
19690.93870.16221.16000.26770.63180.54131.62851.15600.35080.71990.66630.67670.94940.29640.72500.52970.71250.3848
19701.28350.25321.57241.02500.39450.78671.70590.7095−0.37630.21070.45850.92460.8993−0.69111.18101.06910.71290.6515
19713.42243.24181.77053.22092.51112.47922.13283.88271.44843.10701.46333.01641.83861.33702.70101.62162.44970.8115
19721.30951.92250.92231.42801.34821.0131−0.34872.14061.04942.29600.98411.73040.83700.69161.95800.75801.25250.6669
19732.35033.13552.30352.17691.20311.33162.53291.09550.51383.64341.13822.22021.54772.11420.87502.06791.89060.8452
19744.82686.15043.19234.60684.83323.65804.69774.82933.47245.25423.50744.35543.20773.55134.67202.16824.18640.9871
19752.54033.60482.43372.72112.87492.80662.12703.02091.81853.69612.37183.22041.59111.91153.47002.11182.64500.6470
19763.19703.84703.35763.12092.93382.90561.38695.05773.62412.92012.03713.66971.71282.31584.07101.66562.98890.9856
19772.44242.18962.23830.48602.00401.53081.56342.09330.7031−0.05261.38272.58130.78411.00691.80801.37081.50830.7591
19783.92384.37622.43772.38662.74902.86183.68773.25541.70133.38691.69982.85432.18863.10032.56901.31302.78070.8382
19792.47771.06192.15381.04561.29001.80603.20171.44500.21920.45780.46982.14471.29420.60802.07300.97481.42020.8311
19802.4299−0.83841.56360.6420−0.42511.65891.43940.7293−1.5942−1.0686−1.12121.13340.7550−0.89841.10101.07870.41161.2184
19812.86802.69132.71703.17271.98232.60023.17492.13100.13351.55680.79333.60382.18292.09521.84001.97642.22000.8900
19822.33641.71052.21831.65581.27622.28061.15283.41040.98621.90240.57832.10421.7988−0.04491.71601.63661.66990.7930
19831.3461−0.91121.50720.6523−0.87381.12661.75140.2220−1.5447−0.5569−1.38251.33860.5900−0.0803−0.37101.68640.28131.1242
19843.57624.41482.85833.44402.94342.83203.34932.25761.82243.90151.97433.17823.35030.86883.55001.86432.88660.9161
19853.82853.24152.69293.03272.44312.85594.24762.80101.56713.24441.47023.54772.72181.96612.72001.87112.76570.7807
19862.32372.41503.31602.49651.01732.74482.63343.52851.60622.76160.30113.29551.57432.26392.67401.95832.30690.8569
19871.4391−1.00411.61810.2761−0.25121.19210.92480.0451−0.8100−0.4804−0.91741.41680.7369−0.28300.62901.11200.35270.8987
19882.72051.55562.60383.30371.63712.62013.83262.0409−0.46381.34770.80482.98272.26662.64051.41301.66172.06051.0466
19893.31785.05033.40254.85083.74393.44033.27263.11482.94894.32982.88144.03532.93522.94104.16302.68643.56960.7235
19901.48623.62323.48791.77422.55802.09822.67671.47302.27512.86042.20342.96571.51011.47492.40302.44662.33230.6890
19913.00382.40443.34652.25121.55192.86163.37813.44501.13400.73370.75013.23242.21471.42322.27702.05012.25360.9253
19923.45061.90763.10202.56491.29302.95731.42074.06132.72063.13500.22682.99311.70111.28921.14302.12302.25561.0291
19933.30513.12893.43843.32182.79552.90272.52972.62283.11323.95321.61213.90092.61241.55412.43502.54502.86070.6800
19942.20900.63162.06831.54391.26182.76472.33841.48030.3572−0.28410.18242.40651.42370.81732.04702.21311.46630.9037
19952.28781.09672.75692.06491.11182.45742.07581.23540.95821.34840.38282.60651.86852.08441.55902.45991.77220.6908
19963.91764.00472.86803.78663.88353.00012.64132.82263.30485.23562.91903.41553.50352.82593.84702.39733.39830.7082
19973.17674.05222.99113.13553.68602.86043.56553.00153.85763.24872.96393.60131.66734.39043.01601.74713.18510.7238
19981.37402.72472.28840.77611.85071.62403.5550−1.11420.24020.56951.39411.95491.20782.09981.65601.88971.50571.0692
19993.46063.10753.96484.54293.81073.94804.98502.92463.61323.05972.67524.08603.17202.67534.62802.85233.59410.7239
20003.92105.00143.54384.40434.35974.00724.48472.58253.97003.36433.45024.28192.75342.49904.57502.75043.74680.7838
20012.48902.46993.12412.59312.10992.87832.26272.21612.32131.63141.14213.22971.52412.22303.35702.58042.38450.6083
20021.17710.17802.40611.49130.47731.96280.87291.14480.6712−0.2417−0.49721.94591.09680.00021.18101.90140.98550.8485
20032.47301.38962.97343.02401.43772.58683.59131.68551.82622.04140.92203.30362.06443.05792.39802.22292.31230.7549
20043.76523.76813.42563.65043.33653.46543.87582.89133.88744.79002.46074.26692.43552.99144.28502.16013.46600.7293
20051.68661.45783.28512.00291.25042.25662.01901.81911.74381.28050.50582.83151.74901.80232.18102.18381.87840.6400
20063.16592.40033.08593.97313.09843.05903.17933.37112.95652.73182.47703.84412.57774.07043.45902.37913.11430.5352
20073.47111.84913.24283.30482.18623.16853.89652.49672.31541.97941.15293.62752.18581.89323.97102.60402.70910.8325
20083.80513.83562.83134.41173.47944.02114.21603.34983.69454.78122.50444.48643.20572.03094.51602.90763.62980.7871
20093.38822.44743.32573.15782.44342.74783.90263.00213.94852.63672.12933.84001.73212.34554.04802.67662.98570.7074
20103.38984.30904.10842.78353.05192.69014.61540.91683.64624.11272.56743.84942.52404.54453.81702.21753.32150.9997
20113.95384.22014.56104.32824.10654.22344.73854.15885.00204.50382.76504.95722.93982.86935.52002.89784.10910.8383
20122.54771.00553.48812.72442.22093.31402.21502.22062.06830.79340.94883.46961.80171.94833.45902.82212.31550.8899
20133.96013.48873.35383.89693.44943.25465.22082.33454.62134.34172.85373.89312.73742.61283.80403.11273.55850.7689
20143.93634.30773.99293.73733.73113.90973.14653.00484.89834.04072.60844.77862.05873.25304.54502.66563.66340.8128
20152.35521.42073.33191.74751.26333.02571.35561.78682.43550.32100.10043.58321.33732.45772.99102.62592.00871.0165
20162.43303.32943.74042.97052.74332.07172.82040.29513.05452.08461.98764.30002.19543.92001.85403.29682.69350.9731
20173.66374.18613.67973.82373.78423.53103.98722.18113.63933.71202.48344.22853.22653.41174.39602.94603.55500.6036
20183.10502.86583.40394.23713.51173.76735.08362.92874.11273.99352.51954.58422.86913.82304.52903.02503.64740.7399
20193.03512.50984.22442.95912.09453.13724.35582.60173.75283.21171.56924.15781.81292.75873.52702.96353.04190.8285
20203.20573.22144.64393.32393.58384.07284.18222.11432.75622.24941.36074.35662.05682.34933.52202.68333.10510.9392
20214.45023.89323.70974.17873.10833.20644.59292.55892.82993.14741.55614.12873.10262.77435.00802.96033.45030.8884