Global Carbon Budget 2019

A newer version of this dataset is available. The latest version available on Openclimatedata is 2024.

Published: December 4, 2019

Citation: Friedlingstein et al., Global Carbon Budget 2019. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-11-1783-2019

Data: Global Carbon Project. (2019). Supplemental data of Global Carbon Budget 2019 (Version 1.0) [Data set]. Global Carbon Project. https://doi.org/10.18160/gcp-2019

Changelog:
  • 2018 total anthropogenic CO₂ emissions: 11.5 ± 0.9 GtC/year (42.5 ± 3.3 GtCO₂/year)
  • 2018 growth in fossil CO₂ emissions was about 2.1%, an increase to 10.0 ± 0.5 GtC/year
  • 2018 global atmospheric CO₂ concentration: 407.38 ± 0.1 ppm

Terrestrial CO₂ sink (positive values represent a flux from the atmosphere to the land)

All values in billion tonnes of carbon per year (GtC/yr), for the globe. For values in billion tonnes of carbon dioxide per year (GtCO₂/yr), multiply the numbers below by 3.664.
1 billion tonnes C = 1 petagram of carbon (10^15 gC) = 1 gigatonne C = 3.664 billion tonnes of CO₂
Methods: The terrestrial sink (uncertainty of ±0.9 GtC/yr on average) is estimated from the average of several Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs) that reproduce the observed mean total land uptake of the 1990s.
Cite individual estimates as:
  • CABLE-POP Haverd, V., Smith, B., Nieradzik, L., Briggs, P. R., Woodgate, W., Trudinger, C. M., Canadell, J. G., and Cuntz, M.: A new version of the CABLE land surface model (Subversion revision r4601) incorporating land use and land cover change, woody vegetation demography, and a novel optimisation-based approach to plant coordination of photosynthesis, Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 2995-3026, 2018.
  • CLASS-CTEM Melton, J. R. and Arora, V. K.: Competition between plant functional types in the Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (CTEM) v. 2.0, Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 323-361, 2016.
  • CLM5.0 Lawrence, D., Fisher, R., Koven, C., Oleson, K., Swenson, S., et al.: The Community Land Model version 5: Description of new features, benchmarking, and impact of forcing uncertainty, JAMES, accepted, 2019.
  • DLEM Tian, H., G. Chen, C. Lu, X. Xu, D. J. Hayes, W. Ren, S. Pan, D.N. Huntzinger, S.C. Wofsy: North American terrestrial CO₂ uptake largely offset by CH4 and N2O emissions: Toward a full accounting of the greenhouse gas budget, Climatic Change, 129:423-426, 2015
  • ISAM Meiyappan, P., Jain, A. K., and House, J. I.: Increased influence of nitrogen limitation on CO₂ emissions from future land use and land use change, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29, 1524-1548, 2015.
  • ISBA-CTRIP Decharme, B., Delire, C., Minvielle, M., Colin, J., Vergnes, J., Alias, A., Saint‐Martin, D., Séférian, R., Sénési, S. and Voldoire, A.: Recent Changes in the ISBA‐CTRIP Land Surface System for Use in the CNRM‐CM6 Climate Model and in Global Off‐Line Hydrological Applications, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 11(5), 1207–1252, doi:10.1029/2018MS001545, 2019.
  • JSBACH Mauritsen, T., Bader, J., Becker, T., Behrens, J., Bittner, M., Brokopf, R., Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Crueger, T., Esch, M., Fast, I., Fiedler, S., Popke, D., Gayler, V., Giorgetta, M., Goll, D., Haak, H., Hagemann, S., Hedemann, C., Hohenegger, C., Ilyina, T., Jahns, T., Jimenez Cuesta de la Otero, D., Jungclaus, J., Kleinen, T., Kloster, S., Kracher, D., Kinne, S., Kleberg, D., Lasslop, G., Kornblueh, L., Marotzke, J., Matei, D., Meraner, K., Mikolajewicz, U., Modali, K., Möbis, B., Müller, W., Nabel, J.E.M.S., Nam, C., Notz, D., Nyawira, S., Paulsen, H., Peters, K., Pincus, R., Pohlmann, H., Pongratz, J., Popp, M., Raddatz, T., Rast, S., Redler, R., Reick, C., Rohrschneider, T., Schemann, V., Schmidt, H., Schnur, R., Schulzweida, U., Six, K., Stein, L., Stemmler, I., Stevens, B., von Storch, J., Tian, F., Voigt, A., de Vrese, P., Wieners, K.-H., Wilkenskjeld, S., Roeckner, E. & Winkler, A. (in review). Developments in the MPI-M Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI-ESM1.2) and its response to increasing CO₂.
  • JULES Clarke, D. B., Mercado, L. M., Sitch, S., Jones, C. D., Gedney, N., Best, M. J., Pryor, M., Rooney, G. G., Essery, R. L. H., Blyth, E., Boucher, O., Cox, P. M., and Harding, R. J.: The Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES), model description - Part 2: Carbon fluxes and vegetation dynamics. , Geoscientific Model Development, 4, 701-772, 2011
  • LPJ-GUESS Smith, B., Warlind, D., Arneth, A., Hickler, T., Leadley, P., Siltberg, J., and Zaehle, S.: Implications of incorporating N cycling and N limitations on primary production in an individual-based dynamic vegetation model, Biogeosciences, 11, 2027-2054, 2014.
  • LPJ Poulter, B., Frank, D. C., Hodson, E. L., and Zimmermann, N. E.: Impacts of land cover and climate data selection on understanding terrestrial carbon dynamics and the CO₂ airborne fraction, Biogeosciences, 8, 2027-2036, 2011.
  • LPX-Bern Lienert, S. and Joos, F.: A Bayesian ensemble data assimilation to constrain model parameters and land-use carbon emissions, Biogeosciences, 15, 2909-2930, 2018.
  • OCNv2 Zaehle, S. and Friend, A. D.: Carbon and nitrogen cycle dynamics in the O-CN land surface model: 1. Model description, site-scale evaluation, and sensitivity to parameter estimates, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 24, GB1005, 2010
  • ORCHIDEE-CNP Goll, D. S., Winkler, A. J., Raddatz, T., Dong, N., Colin Prentice, I., Ciais, P. and Brovkin, V.: Carbon-nitrogen interactions in idealized simulations with JSBACH (version 3.10), Geosci. Model Dev., 10(5), 2009–2030, doi:10.5194/gmd-10-2009-2017, 2017.
  • ORCHIDEE-Trunk Krinner, G., Viovy, N., de Noblet, N., Ogée, J., Friedlingstein, P., Ciais, P., Sitch, S., Polcher, J., and Prentice, I. C.: A dynamic global vegetation model for studies of the coupled atmosphere-biosphere system, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 19, 1-33, 2005.
  • SDGVM Walker, A. P., Quaife, T., van Bodegom, P. M., De Kauwe, M. G., Keenan, T. F., Joiner, J., Lomas, M. R., MacBean, N., Xu, C. G., Yang, X. J., and Woodward, F. I.: The impact of alternative trait-scaling hypotheses for the maximum photosynthetic carboxylation rate (V-cmax) on global gross primary production, New Phytologist, 215, 1370-1386, 2017.
  • VISIT Kato, E., Kinoshita, T., Ito, A., Kawamiya, M. and Yamagata, Y.: Evaluation of spatially explicit emission scenario of land-use change and biomass burning using a process-based biogeochemical model, J. Land Use Sci., 8(1), 104–122, doi:10.1080/1747423x.2011.628705, 2013.

GCB

GCB

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
GtC

Unit GtC/year

YearGCB
19590.5280
19601.3354
19610.7129
19621.3363
19631.1146
19641.4460
19650.5140
19661.4329
19671.6985
19682.5125
19690.4911
19700.3845
19712.5729
19721.2051
19731.3747
19744.0137
19752.4166
19762.9819
19771.4026
19782.6740
19791.4165
19800.4653
19812.2596
19821.4899
19830.1864
19842.7547
19852.6784
19862.1624
19870.3762
19881.9361
19893.4096
19902.2366
19912.1510
19922.0853
19932.8266
19941.4165
19951.6610
19963.1119
19973.2292
19981.3945
19993.4027
20003.7916
20012.3900
20021.0025
20032.2898
20043.4899
20051.7760
20063.0627
20072.8376
20083.5874
20092.7485
20103.1353
20114.1624
20122.5627
20133.3155
20143.7384
20152.1666
20162.6994
20173.6379
20183.5155

Individual Models

CABLE

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1
2
3
4
GtC

CLASS-CTEM

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
GtC

CLM5.0

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
GtC

DLEM

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
GtC

ISAM

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
GtC

ISBA-CTRIP

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0
1
2
3
4
GtC

JSBACH

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0
1
2
3
4
GtC

JULES

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0
1
2
3
4
GtC

LPJ

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0
1
2
3
4
GtC

LPJ-GUESS

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0
1
2
3
4
GtC

LPX

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
-1
0
1
2
3
GtC

MMM (multi-model mean)

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
GtC

OCNv2

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1
2
3
4
5
GtC

ORCHIDEE-CNP

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
-1
0
1
2
3
4
GtC

ORCHIDEE-Trunk

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
GtC

SDGVM

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
-1
0
1
2
3
4
GtC

VISIT

1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1
2
3
4
5
GtC

Unit GtC/year

YearCABLECLASS-CTEMCLM5.0DLEMISAMISBA-CTRIPJSBACHJULESLPJLPJ-GUESSLPXMMM (multi-model mean)OCNv2ORCHIDEE-CNPORCHIDEE-TrunkSDGVMVISIT
19590.17320.20391.14790.85671.12550.91520.51331.0926−0.1936−0.83220.26410.56421.12450.35220.65860.30011.3250
19601.95451.27961.33271.65641.31121.67751.85741.50910.73420.98710.89481.33221.07511.01481.46400.78201.7840
19611.07211.17160.34850.66950.92130.46461.60710.6687−0.22490.7087−0.03360.68741.28970.40001.2350−0.67451.3750
19621.61041.49701.10491.01071.30951.51102.10141.88310.53011.4792−0.07551.31881.72241.69641.5173−0.07362.2770
19631.92350.49850.79820.68681.05271.51651.60751.7916−0.12440.17300.21691.09171.75470.81581.52360.85702.3750
19641.24361.18981.96521.62401.9350−0.00011.53052.14141.10512.46901.09041.47561.83151.78601.62050.36871.7090
19651.4230−0.75320.90290.37421.12331.28270.46121.3494−0.3080−0.0693−1.06840.53550.72472.16880.8937−1.35701.4200
19662.16231.96701.49051.72331.27311.09522.11280.76900.41041.39980.94991.43331.59621.10001.59581.87351.4140
19671.71701.18951.59051.46951.75231.50081.77302.54221.22181.62011.15661.68832.62881.93881.58291.34681.9820
19682.19093.39912.06892.25512.40391.81811.84022.59622.69693.60282.12462.48112.79592.75002.00922.30812.8380
19691.5406−0.03590.9827−0.02440.25560.63621.3307−0.07240.44750.37740.33510.51840.6703−0.03650.75680.58790.5420
19700.66950.22891.10940.89340.60310.47821.32710.4333−0.7429−0.17120.08020.42610.65070.29370.8584−0.61120.7160
19712.70142.89421.72083.02882.37151.84471.61702.89712.31903.37922.05862.51562.85183.47842.25251.86752.9670
19721.25421.37890.65710.89550.64992.1077−0.68140.70751.68712.38861.41351.16681.70250.72810.81541.03661.9280
19732.07271.68521.75202.52991.6862−0.54641.6301−0.66580.87943.15830.57391.39432.17500.51981.55832.35530.9450
19743.79094.55312.72033.40143.22654.12234.56833.60113.79964.72443.53643.92774.29634.67614.13853.15184.5360
19752.21843.12032.13192.25102.01641.41651.94042.26062.14963.21782.16252.39463.22572.28472.34131.96073.6150
19762.73043.08583.07072.17832.62652.76191.39333.55924.44053.16522.25772.98283.71223.55082.34532.49644.3500
19772.22792.23141.83480.73970.99691.30840.82711.39871.82540.18741.70401.42502.5790−0.01131.42510.95682.5680
19783.30393.62752.37172.32972.38651.88613.08392.10992.70123.15471.83972.65002.72322.07062.68883.12323.0000
19792.20700.98031.94571.33691.41611.89022.47231.40051.26950.25010.79231.44432.03890.28681.46031.09642.2650
19801.9416−0.67281.11931.05190.95110.69081.31020.6723−0.6688−0.7856−1.07650.50111.09780.71260.7557−0.51101.4290
19812.75562.67982.20153.02952.13212.28552.81222.00831.04231.54880.94262.25033.54851.80712.53902.28282.3890
19821.50000.74411.64101.77651.91991.97080.79041.86081.82842.17540.78821.49362.05371.08111.18670.24352.3370
19831.3968−1.39420.93081.09240.64590.19311.5197−0.1715−0.6981−0.5829−1.45520.22741.2355−0.12210.40920.36540.2740
19842.82143.02302.18133.74012.51182.37672.80061.40832.46613.35222.15522.71273.12823.13593.03371.58653.6820
19853.30372.58762.33282.30682.63653.02933.44481.99252.47573.12961.50542.65053.42162.55102.68432.12882.8780
19862.23182.12762.96272.39702.14932.09392.27202.48372.14932.45040.04412.20623.16611.97401.94202.07042.7850
19872.1172−0.88381.30100.73950.58211.41040.8947−0.12760.3419−0.5780−0.71280.42771.5541−1.14820.3196−0.16871.2010
19882.51021.97841.94403.18642.07861.24033.40322.43200.14110.47600.88421.93023.00071.46482.17872.12161.8430
19892.92734.32292.77223.82233.00793.17613.06113.66333.14573.66452.95603.36254.10593.04773.18942.80224.1360
19902.26563.05312.87101.96681.86072.75822.33551.65742.47672.91162.03942.26902.96510.70321.92571.69572.8190
19912.56841.83322.95662.47442.43462.19532.92472.74661.68530.98760.62832.19423.32281.70782.19511.49212.9550
19922.83761.26592.41842.59293.23691.39460.98452.16923.21722.89930.59752.09932.81832.36401.74731.60851.4370
19933.49962.45693.01792.85272.78513.00862.36952.20873.65603.85611.89072.83153.85462.77362.68141.71872.6740
19942.01400.58381.48101.28031.17502.32681.76142.25960.9761−0.32100.45121.41362.52710.80871.85870.81072.6240
19952.63071.23012.28682.15631.48952.15301.71691.85870.91910.75670.20211.69282.68211.13351.93241.97911.9570
19963.69813.25292.32762.64022.62212.45292.36031.95592.84674.78562.91293.05553.32003.62943.55272.77323.7580
19973.95063.92322.71012.69402.37313.08583.55672.73543.72773.48263.03713.18893.77391.87602.78523.85333.4580
19982.57291.86472.12941.18120.63701.39053.94440.19150.44650.19291.12331.43291.9367−0.79421.94322.04412.1220
19992.68913.21723.14683.95913.37543.25984.43723.40923.27642.47152.57923.37853.98603.70953.72182.23234.5850
20004.80135.07012.92453.64373.11043.61354.52123.62203.73663.20593.17713.72904.35013.23783.79472.21914.6360
20013.38363.10602.49202.16792.31812.54762.62902.40642.04501.50530.92452.38873.21281.01592.54242.24903.6730
20022.15780.44411.79471.23481.30852.17651.06320.92940.5548−0.1914−0.47911.04421.96580.64191.60120.12541.3800
20033.06522.09152.24812.62832.17242.35983.63321.68471.51681.69170.60212.27883.35411.42452.25143.10362.6330
20044.37813.67943.04793.07923.26573.16023.69923.05053.51544.60842.30983.45324.35452.58733.27342.92854.3140
20052.24911.43402.53292.60331.51082.22531.70562.06041.68071.08080.46611.81492.82450.67021.93411.75212.3080
20063.35782.32192.49093.57382.67763.32982.95233.11222.70422.74942.30633.01763.88011.84113.12413.95263.9070
20074.47712.87042.81883.46672.49202.81323.88722.98211.99431.93420.95222.82743.59031.98773.13351.57004.2690
20083.84533.48732.39003.53213.31293.13514.28613.69873.19264.08762.28633.50364.36583.90463.67922.14584.7080
20093.76801.90312.37152.77252.27232.71463.45352.38523.55522.27201.95962.71603.64561.93482.31542.29443.8390
20104.37163.75373.24632.91682.08602.54044.89091.19412.85843.48781.91533.13273.75651.30973.38974.15654.2490
20114.47044.63283.80703.92533.60153.93384.68214.43704.38024.27002.61854.13035.01293.64064.09372.76455.8150
20123.32862.30522.44582.52402.31343.71352.48073.23202.07871.07271.13912.54563.62571.90522.70121.78364.0800
20134.43783.29492.91163.36402.89252.66524.58752.37163.67423.58462.49623.28073.71732.71023.34972.40274.0310
20144.97863.42153.53833.80393.27264.02833.19293.03814.62854.12452.59183.71544.74152.66993.58672.74655.0830
20153.15561.45892.79551.80622.34603.74371.83462.33492.71050.87780.28422.19553.79820.43751.96342.34833.2330
20163.52513.00103.18033.28562.46272.21223.65140.96242.78282.35021.92872.71884.11110.70513.04823.84122.4530
20173.73694.64252.93363.34323.19644.41753.79472.54553.53173.76892.40473.58284.29293.04723.83063.16904.6700
20183.63223.06592.90853.66372.77713.51414.46302.87873.45863.73882.39423.46884.38102.68053.58293.39704.9650