Global Carbon Budget 2019

A newer version of this dataset is available. The latest version available on Openclimatedata is 2024.

Published: December 4, 2019

Citation: Friedlingstein et al., Global Carbon Budget 2019. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-11-1783-2019

Data: Global Carbon Project. (2019). Supplemental data of Global Carbon Budget 2019 (Version 1.0) [Data set]. Global Carbon Project. https://doi.org/10.18160/gcp-2019

Changelog:
  • 2018 total anthropogenic CO₂ emissions: 11.5 ± 0.9 GtC/year (42.5 ± 3.3 GtCO₂/year)
  • 2018 growth in fossil CO₂ emissions was about 2.1%, an increase to 10.0 ± 0.5 GtC/year
  • 2018 global atmospheric CO₂ concentration: 407.38 ± 0.1 ppm

Land-use change emissions

All values in billion tonnes of carbon per year (GtC/yr), for the globe. For values in billion tonnes of carbon dioxide per year (GtCO₂/yr), multiply the numbers below by 3.664.
1 billion tonnes C = 1 petagram of carbon (10^15 gC) = 1 gigatonne C = 3.664 billion tonnes of CO₂
Methods: The GCB estimate is the average of the two bookkeeping models (uncertainty of ±0.7 GtC/yr). Individual results from dynamic global vegetation models are also provided.
data below represents the net flux of land-use change, based on the net balance between deforestation and forest regrowth along with other land-use changes
Cite individual estimates as:
  • H&N Houghton, R. A. and Nassikas, A. A.: Global and regional fluxes of carbon from land use and land cover change 1850-2015, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 31, 456-472, 2017.
  • BLUE Hansis, E., Davis, S. J., and Pongratz, J.: Relevance of methodological choices for accounting of land use change carbon fluxes, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29, 1230-1246, 2015.
  • CABLE-POP Haverd, V., Smith, B., Nieradzik, L., Briggs, P. R., Woodgate, W., Trudinger, C. M., Canadell, J. G., and Cuntz, M.: A new version of the CABLE land surface model (Subversion revision r4601) incorporating land use and land cover change, woody vegetation demography, and a novel optimisation-based approach to plant coordination of photosynthesis, Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 2995-3026, 2018.
  • CLASS-CTEM Melton, J. R. and Arora, V. K.: Competition between plant functional types in the Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (CTEM) v. 2.0, Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 323-361, 2016.
  • CLM5.0 Lawrence, D., Fisher, R., Koven, C., Oleson, K., Swenson, S., et al.: The Community Land Model version 5: Description of new features, benchmarking, and impact of forcing uncertainty, JAMES, accepted, 2019
  • DLEM Tian, H., G. Chen, C. Lu, X. Xu, D. J. Hayes, W. Ren, S. Pan, D.N. Huntzinger, S.C. Wofsy: North American terrestrial CO₂ uptake largely offset by CH4 and N2O emissions: Toward a full accounting of the greenhouse gas budget, Climatic Change, 129:423-426, 2015
  • ISAM Meiyappan, P., Jain, A. K., and House, J. I.: Increased influence of nitrogen limitation on CO₂ emissions from future land use and land use change, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29, 1524-1548, 2015.
  • ISBA-CTRIP Decharme, B., Delire, C., Minvielle, M., Colin, J., Vergnes, J., Alias, A., Saint‐Martin, D., Séférian, R., Sénési, S. and Voldoire, A.: Recent Changes in the ISBA‐CTRIP Land Surface System for Use in the CNRM‐CM6 Climate Model and in Global Off‐Line Hydrological Applications, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 11(5), 1207–1252, doi:10.1029/2018MS001545, 2019.
  • JSBACH Mauritsen, T., Bader, J., Becker, T., Behrens, J., Bittner, M., Brokopf, R., Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Crueger, T., Esch, M., Fast, I., Fiedler, S., Popke, D., Gayler, V., Giorgetta, M., Goll, D., Haak, H., Hagemann, S., Hedemann, C., Hohenegger, C., Ilyina, T., Jahns, T., Jimenez Cuesta de la Otero, D., Jungclaus, J., Kleinen, T., Kloster, S., Kracher, D., Kinne, S., Kleberg, D., Lasslop, G., Kornblueh, L., Marotzke, J., Matei, D., Meraner, K., Mikolajewicz, U., Modali, K., Möbis, B., Müller, W., Nabel, J.E.M.S., Nam, C., Notz, D., Nyawira, S., Paulsen, H., Peters, K., Pincus, R., Pohlmann, H., Pongratz, J., Popp, M., Raddatz, T., Rast, S., Redler, R., Reick, C., Rohrschneider, T., Schemann, V., Schmidt, H., Schnur, R., Schulzweida, U., Six, K., Stein, L., Stemmler, I., Stevens, B., von Storch, J., Tian, F., Voigt, A., de Vrese, P., Wieners, K.-H., Wilkenskjeld, S., Roeckner, E. & Winkler, A. (in review). Developments in the MPI-M Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI-ESM1.2) and its response to increasing CO₂.
  • JULES Clarke, D. B., Mercado, L. M., Sitch, S., Jones, C. D., Gedney, N., Best, M. J., Pryor, M., Rooney, G. G., Essery, R. L. H., Blyth, E., Boucher, O., Cox, P. M., and Harding, R. J.: The Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES), model description - Part 2: Carbon fluxes and vegetation dynamics. , Geoscientific Model Development, 4, 701-772, 2011
  • LPJ-GUESS Smith, B., Warlind, D., Arneth, A., Hickler, T., Leadley, P., Siltberg, J., and Zaehle, S.: Implications of incorporating N cycling and N limitations on primary production in an individual-based dynamic vegetation model, Biogeosciences, 11, 2027-2054, 2014.
  • LPJ Poulter, B., Frank, D. C., Hodson, E. L., and Zimmermann, N. E.: Impacts of land cover and climate data selection on understanding terrestrial carbon dynamics and the CO₂ airborne fraction, Biogeosciences, 8, 2027-2036, 2011.
  • LPX-Bern Lienert, S. and Joos, F.: A Bayesian ensemble data assimilation to constrain model parameters and land-use carbon emissions, Biogeosciences, 15, 2909-2930, 2018.
  • OCNv2 Zaehle, S. and Friend, A. D.: Carbon and nitrogen cycle dynamics in the O-CN land surface model: 1. Model description, site-scale evaluation, and sensitivity to parameter estimates, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 24, GB1005, 2010
  • ORCHIDEE-CNP Goll, D. S., Winkler, A. J., Raddatz, T., Dong, N., Colin Prentice, I., Ciais, P. and Brovkin, V.: Carbon-nitrogen interactions in idealized simulations with JSBACH (version 3.10), Geosci. Model Dev., 10(5), 2009–2030, doi:10.5194/gmd-10-2009-2017, 2017.
  • ORCHIDEE-Trunk Krinner, G., Viovy, N., de Noblet, N., Ogée, J., Friedlingstein, P., Ciais, P., Sitch, S., Polcher, J., and Prentice, I. C.: A dynamic global vegetation model for studies of the coupled atmosphere-biosphere system, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 19, 1-33, 2005.
  • SDGVM Walker, A. P., Quaife, T., van Bodegom, P. M., De Kauwe, M. G., Keenan, T. F., Joiner, J., Lomas, M. R., MacBean, N., Xu, C. G., Yang, X. J., and Woodward, F. I.: The impact of alternative trait-scaling hypotheses for the maximum photosynthetic carboxylation rate (V-cmax) on global gross primary production, New Phytologist, 215, 1370-1386, 2017.

GCB

GCB

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
GtC

Unit GtC/year

YearGCB
19591.8104
19601.6522
19611.5747
19621.5265
19631.4677
19641.4144
19651.3629
19661.3185
19671.2952
19681.2901
19691.2957
19701.2718
19711.2471
19721.2167
19731.1930
19741.1588
19751.1361
19761.1213
19771.1031
19781.0660
19791.0387
19801.0850
19811.1021
19821.1174
19831.1601
19841.1984
19851.2182
19861.2537
19871.2911
19881.3078
19891.3347
19901.3082
19911.3066
19921.3152
19931.3129
19941.3068
19951.2921
19961.2660
19971.7384
19981.1874
19991.1614
20001.3411
20011.2720
20021.4607
20031.5196
20041.4788
20051.3678
20061.4176
20071.2357
20081.2985
20091.5042
20101.3846
20111.3421
20121.4680
20131.5186
20141.6592
20151.7035
20161.5374
20171.4690
20181.5088

Bookkeeping methods

BLUE

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
GtC

H&N

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
GtC

Unit GtC/year

YearBLUEH&N
19592.62280.9980
19602.28071.0238
19612.09481.0546
19621.99071.0623
19631.91681.0185
19641.86370.9651
19651.81820.9076
19661.78820.8487
19671.75940.8310
19681.73450.8456
19691.70720.8841
19701.63420.9094
19711.59780.8965
19721.57280.8605
19731.54290.8431
19741.51580.8019
19751.49060.7815
19761.47550.7671
19771.46310.7432
19781.44230.6897
19791.42080.6566
19801.54590.6241
19811.59920.6050
19821.64000.5948
19831.66970.6505
19841.70290.6938
19851.72130.7151
19861.74860.7589
19871.77940.8028
19881.80820.8074
19891.82810.8413
19901.56971.0467
19911.45301.1602
19921.36321.2672
19931.30021.3257
19941.24571.3679
19951.20151.3826
19961.15311.3789
19971.60121.8756
19981.04221.3326
19991.01731.3055
20001.44401.2382
20011.31471.2294
20021.61581.3057
20031.81671.2225
20041.70261.2550
20051.49931.2362
20061.50511.3300
20071.38841.0829
20081.50331.0937
20091.82711.1814
20101.65361.1157
20111.60831.0758
20121.87451.0616
20132.03661.0007
20142.25881.0595
20152.26151.1455
20162.26330.8115
20172.19780.7402
20182.28980.7279

Individual Models

CABLE

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

CLASS-CTEM

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
GtC

CLM5.0

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
GtC

DLEM

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
GtC

ISAM

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

ISBA-CTRIP

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
GtC

JSBACH

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
GtC

JULES

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
GtC

LPJ

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
GtC

LPJ-GUESS

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

LPX

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
GtC

OCNv2

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
GtC

ORCHIDEE-CNP

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1
2
3
4
5
6
GtC

ORCHIDEE-Trunk

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
GtC

SDGVM

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0
1
2
3
4
GtC

VISIT

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0
GtC

MMM (multi-model mean)

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
GtC

Unit GtC/year

YearCABLECLASS-CTEMCLM5.0DLEMISAMISBA-CTRIPJSBACHJULESLPJLPJ-GUESSLPXOCNv2ORCHIDEE-CNPORCHIDEE-TrunkSDGVMVISITMMM (multi-model mean)
19592.62070.86862.27612.27291.72630.73171.19491.70021.64261.81311.21152.31202.63280.97892.3197-1.7535
19601.62550.44422.02112.45531.80480.77751.10161.66731.28252.10951.23282.40162.67310.93872.8356-1.6914
19611.71631.73301.80421.21351.14490.57621.02871.71321.24791.59780.81571.83451.87140.81562.0999-1.4142
19621.88180.47091.96551.48611.10090.07081.09631.91101.22701.66200.78562.04641.62650.78241.5741-1.3125
19632.10560.95951.84291.32360.8272−0.08531.20011.87601.08591.03430.32661.75231.73730.88612.6041-1.2984
19642.09710.86991.86421.54541.09220.16211.17211.80091.14781.76240.77621.80371.76150.65861.5332-1.3365
19651.68681.10241.33241.29551.33290.14401.31241.94320.87551.63470.79311.82641.78610.76730.5410-1.2249
19661.47761.28281.62391.27641.04140.18561.23451.82951.13211.43430.62521.62951.71770.75482.0196-1.2843
19672.15870.87561.69341.36281.0484−0.01221.13171.83231.18511.76480.92611.72331.63700.79731.9927-1.3411
19681.57011.79931.75071.43051.0318−0.07891.25071.87671.15451.87560.78831.63871.62960.84962.5273-1.4063
19691.00750.34511.42481.44590.9450−0.04971.23501.64841.24361.69680.72591.66441.36420.71681.2444-1.1105
19702.05521.18681.43161.29031.19070.14591.25131.74491.25521.41140.80521.65651.32570.75960.9494-1.2306
19711.72281.18491.58101.25100.8922−0.13551.15221.76891.36132.11890.96941.45161.66330.77032.4656-1.3479
19721.95871.19411.45331.06390.9023−0.23611.16921.64961.25581.99620.83231.56921.44160.72441.1263-1.2067
19731.04301.34931.41751.25290.90710.18251.12031.46411.22821.76270.67851.32461.28770.56412.8806-1.2309
19741.67931.51211.72491.39860.5309−0.13761.20451.76961.46642.47350.96281.71981.90500.99072.9587-1.4773
19752.66151.12811.53340.95440.74940.12631.20991.78071.27901.64830.50472.02311.41650.83302.0210-1.3246
19761.53111.03881.62491.50590.8847−0.36991.05251.83851.48311.58550.73831.84561.70240.74562.1134-1.2880
19771.55040.49921.68071.02941.1045−0.27941.15171.54251.19380.91000.25071.54181.21380.62571.1893-1.0136
19781.91741.02271.83031.37220.9816−0.12080.84891.66671.35012.10560.95521.63141.36200.75732.6068-1.3525
19791.76021.34931.44161.22281.0769−0.11401.59461.75401.01751.21310.77821.80451.21710.88000.9615-1.1972
19801.96550.82671.44641.10261.06440.02541.22531.56881.09570.80520.75981.67101.22710.63890.7932-1.0811
19811.47421.53821.82871.51380.9661−0.03721.55041.69251.26741.69700.78091.53561.79770.90112.4372-1.3962
19821.82190.48061.76491.56011.28650.07651.56411.88681.37281.90550.83421.88401.65420.80660.6908-1.3060
19831.36550.90251.92291.31941.17530.31731.76041.74861.23980.88011.01921.47981.57610.79691.9219-1.2950
19842.72380.85711.52441.74770.85470.20521.54471.70191.36622.05361.01631.81492.00100.85571.5654-1.4555
19851.37880.81891.70901.84061.15030.22601.50251.76411.35962.35150.95441.75552.10700.86321.7351-1.4344
19861.84821.42152.21681.56461.11840.20641.72361.88921.39501.83480.91821.74921.83220.91401.5107-1.4762
19871.83571.62902.00251.50361.18920.16011.70201.71091.22591.06830.85641.65761.49320.80661.2740-1.3410
19881.99761.23071.90171.65021.04590.02301.76031.78871.17720.83090.75591.60211.97960.91822.1971-1.3906
19891.91711.48181.98481.66761.16630.08922.04342.05711.20922.04630.70211.99622.18231.07232.4352-1.6034
19901.04641.52711.98871.59711.39920.51171.71031.76181.20172.06800.90841.79952.05680.79301.4805-1.4567
19911.96941.04331.68241.12711.12640.29921.34121.76501.13721.32420.59641.74681.17360.77151.0609-1.2110
19921.45551.45351.35450.98701.1920−0.12291.36632.00811.08361.42770.74341.54571.54800.59820.9086-1.1700
19930.78140.21781.53661.23820.9578−0.00211.24251.75471.14332.22360.79981.26481.29860.60111.2863-1.0896
19941.67800.85411.40740.76371.0859−0.03831.05851.85420.95110.71440.14081.79611.14880.82940.4576-0.9801
19951.46850.86871.45300.95910.94740.04411.28051.94230.80391.10450.28801.35541.07950.93281.5373-1.0710
19961.92231.36101.35461.29591.0559−0.04941.13191.91250.95642.37700.75931.42621.34030.80831.6283-1.2854
19970.75781.59781.37291.04361.06070.02981.35812.06070.99701.70330.75681.44031.20830.80432.1230-1.2210
19980.93260.85961.50600.70801.11080.36321.63631.66110.89270.88110.25811.47670.77830.71861.5239-1.0205
19992.35311.29051.31991.25870.88450.24671.45922.07240.97221.23450.42441.63491.25590.92541.4115-1.2496
20001.19911.05621.27781.30940.9456−0.18821.44461.96631.22991.49510.52711.64431.27780.87471.7258-1.1857
20011.65310.95731.84951.86171.86310.61451.50311.91431.04631.65570.46041.97721.30910.78341.5412-1.3993
20021.73021.47091.58651.08271.48380.54171.61311.73901.03071.01410.43011.52830.85890.9633−0.3598-1.1142
20030.99981.33981.76902.13671.66790.43942.02361.77241.41411.32241.19621.74852.16341.06372.0521-1.5406
20041.46292.21992.51132.70171.92720.88231.71041.87151.55942.86401.33161.86122.80901.18982.7702-1.9782
20051.73831.24352.18612.48102.47480.91451.43811.76121.15801.50040.76141.95040.97730.92662.0696-1.5721
20062.19921.07161.48701.51501.73900.48621.59631.82901.20051.49750.63191.79861.36870.87122.0502-1.4228
20071.08041.94671.64321.47381.80520.83901.82601.89231.16831.49590.43971.56671.37731.07941.4465-1.4054
20082.35711.60121.83201.81191.62570.77131.99752.13281.42012.15061.08121.97771.75420.96891.6214-1.6736
20091.37310.80581.55801.87861.81540.57541.97621.75791.80831.78140.80761.89912.01960.83171.0176-1.4604
20101.47182.38302.38952.81902.54871.60552.24411.51701.64062.51851.35742.07012.38171.34204.0748-2.1576
20112.17652.50751.62722.07572.02601.35491.96651.90641.69052.42090.63601.96811.73081.01251.9294-1.8019
20122.54740.59131.29941.47891.75740.68601.87771.97231.51980.76880.41362.03921.56941.05861.0375-1.3745
20131.18822.87022.33823.30132.66351.17482.13082.07501.94082.48101.12032.22186.45091.50051.9497-2.3605
20141.63042.61932.44383.09322.52711.53052.36202.23061.98222.98801.42562.11622.84511.40772.1041-2.2204
20151.69732.23382.47722.46002.84471.55852.42312.10631.81111.99401.20502.24382.55251.21551.8377-2.0440
20161.47462.77132.58262.69482.38681.76002.45922.01551.94322.11871.19721.95622.76831.30093.2032-2.1755
20172.25793.74482.38653.49202.90911.81532.18432.31672.01102.87171.59702.67282.58761.30172.2201-2.4246
20181.97172.96322.24393.14902.99932.10422.39932.36401.70192.38371.42742.77433.23511.60391.6212-2.3295