Global Carbon Budget 2019

A newer version of this dataset is available. The latest version available on Openclimatedata is 2024.

Published: December 4, 2019

Citation: Friedlingstein et al., Global Carbon Budget 2019. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-11-1783-2019

Data: Global Carbon Project. (2019). Supplemental data of Global Carbon Budget 2019 (Version 1.0) [Data set]. Global Carbon Project. https://doi.org/10.18160/gcp-2019

Changelog:
  • 2018 total anthropogenic CO₂ emissions: 11.5 ± 0.9 GtC/year (42.5 ± 3.3 GtCO₂/year)
  • 2018 growth in fossil CO₂ emissions was about 2.1%, an increase to 10.0 ± 0.5 GtC/year
  • 2018 global atmospheric CO₂ concentration: 407.38 ± 0.1 ppm

Ocean CO₂ sink (positive values represent a flux from the atmosphere to the ocean)

All values in billion tonnes of carbon per year (GtC/yr), for the globe. For values in billion tonnes of carbon dioxide per year (GtCO₂/yr), multiply the numbers below by 3.664.
1 billion tonnes C = 1 petagram of carbon (10^15 gC) = 1 gigatonne C = 3.664 billion tonnes of CO₂
Methods: The ocean sink (uncertainty of ±0.5 GtC/yr) is estimated from the average of several global ocean biogeochemistry models that reproduce the observed mean ocean sink of the 1990s.
Cite individual estimates as:
Model results used to compute the annual values:
  • CESM_ETH Doney, S. C., Lima, I., Feely, R. A., Glover, D. M., Lindsay, K., Mahowald, N., Moore, J. K., and Wanninkhof, R.: Mech- anisms governing interannual variability in upper-ocean inor- ganic carbon system and air–sea CO₂ fluxes: Physical cli- mate and atmospheric dust, Deep-Sea Res. Pt. II, 56, 640–655, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2008.12.006, 2009.
  • CSIRO Law, R. M., Ziehn, T., Matear, R. J., Lenton, A., Chamberlain, M. A., Stevens, L. E., Wang, Y.-P., Srbinovsky, J., Bi, D., Yan, H., and Vohralik, P. F.: The carbon cycle in the Australian Commu- nity Climate and Earth System Simulator (ACCESS-ESM1) – Part 1: Model description and pre-industrial simulation, Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 2567–2590, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10- 2567-2017, 2017
  • MITgcm-REcoM2 Hauck, J., Lenton, A. A., Langlais, C., & Matear, R. J. (2018). The fate of carbon and nutrients exported out of the Southern Ocean. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 32, 1556–1573. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GB005977
  • MPIOM-HAMOCC Mauritsen, T., Bader, J., Becker, T., Behrens, J., Bittner, M., Brokopf, R., Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Crueger, T., Esch, M., Fast, I., Fiedler, S., Popke, D., Gayler, V., Giorgetta, M., Goll, D., Haak, H., Hagemann, S., Hedemann, C., Hohenegger, C., Ilyina, T., Jahns, T., Jimenez Cuesta de la Otero, D., Jungclaus, J., Kleinen, T., Kloster, S., Kracher, D., Kinne, S., Kleberg, D., Lasslop, G., Kornblueh, L., Marotzke, J., Matei, D., Meraner, K., Mikolajewicz, U., Modali, K., Möbis, B., Müller, W., Nabel, J.E.M.S., Nam, C., Notz, D., Nyawira, S., Paulsen, H., Peters, K., Pincus, R., Pohlmann, H., Pongratz, J., Popp, M., Raddatz, T., Rast, S., Redler, R., Reick, C., Rohrschneider, T., Schemann, V., Schmidt, H., Schnur, R., Schulzweida, U., Six, K., Stein, L., Stemmler, I., Stevens, B., von Storch, J., Tian, F., Voigt, A., de Vrese, P., Wieners, K.-H., Wilkenskjeld, S., Roeckner, E. & Winkler, A. (2019). Developments in the MPI-M Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI-ESM1.2) and its response to increasing CO₂.
  • NEMO3.6-PISCESv2-gas (CNRM) Berthet, S., Séférian, R., Bricaud, C., Chevallier, M., Voldoire, A., & Ethé, C. ( 2019). Evaluation of an online grid‐coarsening algorithm in a global eddy‐admitting ocean biogeochemical model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11, 1759– 1783. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001644
  • NEMO-PlankTOM5 Buitenhuis, E. T., Hashioka, T., Le Quéré, C. (2013) Combined constraints on global ocean primary production using observations and models Global Biogeochemical Cycles 27. pp. 847-858 doi:10.1002/gbc.20074
  • NorESM-OC Schwinger, J., Goris, N., Tjiputra, J. F., Kriest, I., Bentsen, M., Bethke, I., Ilicak, M., Assmann, K. M., and Heinze, C.: Evaluation of NorESM-OC (versions 1 and 1.2), the ocean carbon-cycle stand-alone configuration of the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM1), Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 2589-2622, 2016.
  • MOM6-COBALT (Princeton) Xiao Liu , John P. Dunne, Charles A. Stock, Matthew J. Harrison, Alistair Adcroft, and Laure Resplandy. Simulating Water Residence Time in the Coastal Ocean: A Global Perspective (in revision in GRL).
  • NEMO-PISCES (IPSL) Aumont, O., Ethé, Tagliabue, A., Bopp, L., & Gehlen, M. (2015). PISCES-v2: an ocean biogeochemical model for carbon and ecosystem studies.
Data products used to evaluate the results:
  • Landschützer Landschützer, P., Gruber, N., and Bakker, D. C. E.: Decadal variations and trends of the global ocean carbon sink, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 30, 1396–1417, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GB005359, 2016
  • Rödenbeck Rödenbeck, C., Bakker, D. C. E., Metzl, N., Olsen, A., Sabine, C., Cassar, N., Reum, F., Keeling, R. F., and Heimann, M.: Interannual sea–air CO₂ flux variability from an observation-driven ocean mixed-layer scheme, Biogeosciences, 11, 4599-4613, 2014.
  • CMEMS Denvil-Sommer, A., Gehlen, M., Vrac, M., and Mejia, C.: LSCE-FFNN-v1: a two-step neural network model for the reconstruction of surface ocean pCO₂ over the global ocean, Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 2091–2105, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2091-2019, 2019.
Note: the data products include a pre-industrial steady state source of CO₂ (of about 0.78 GtC/yr) and therefore are not directly comparable with the ocean model results.

GCB

GCB

1960
1980
2000
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

Unit GtC/year

YearGCB
19590.7568
19600.7904
19610.6810
19620.7534
19630.8879
19641.0381
19651.1721
19661.1492
19670.9665
19681.0703
19691.1071
19701.0326
19711.1283
19721.3431
19731.2995
19741.2352
19751.2311
19761.3210
19771.3982
19781.4374
19791.3563
19801.6289
19811.6172
19821.7026
19831.8261
19841.6953
19851.6487
19861.7292
19871.8238
19881.7077
19891.7018
19901.8163
19911.9089
19922.0996
19932.0284
19941.9031
19951.9079
19961.8598
19971.9915
19982.0927
19991.9401
20001.9068
20011.8053
20022.1484
20032.2199
20042.1515
20052.2178
20062.2824
20072.3167
20082.2734
20092.3360
20102.3051
20112.4274
20122.4790
20132.5030
20142.5787
20152.6402
20162.6710
20172.5416
20182.6282

Individual Models

CESM-ETH

1960
1980
2000
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
GtC

CSIRO

1960
1980
2000
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
GtC

MITgcm-REcoM2

1960
1980
2000
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

MOM6-COBALT (Princeton)

1960
1980
2000
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

MPIOM-HAMOCC

1960
1980
2000
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
GtC

NEMO-PISCES (CNRM)

1960
1980
2000
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

NEMO-PISCES (IPSL)

1960
1980
2000
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
GtC

NEMO-PlankTOM5

1960
1980
2000
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

NorESM-OC

1960
1980
2000
1.5
2
2.5
3
GtC

MMM (multi-model mean)

1960
1980
2000
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

Unit GtC/year

YearCESM-ETHCSIROMITgcm-REcoM2MOM6-COBALT (Princeton)MPIOM-HAMOCCNEMO-PISCES (CNRM)NEMO-PISCES (IPSL)NEMO-PlankTOM5NorESM-OCMMM (multi-model mean)
19590.85871.04330.46260.35130.79770.54180.71840.93351.10350.7568
19600.81111.04730.60650.47320.72480.68320.74440.94471.07850.7904
19610.54880.90460.46260.40670.72340.40550.76930.89521.01260.6810
19620.65081.02810.61680.49700.66120.37730.76131.00131.18710.7534
19630.81221.21430.75040.64440.71240.57860.77531.14491.35860.8879
19640.90481.23050.81210.91310.89990.99940.76031.36981.45291.0381
19651.04571.48850.89430.85341.00631.26050.80421.55261.64341.1721
19660.97641.31140.93550.93210.98431.08260.84911.61461.65661.1492
19670.78541.06250.80180.72470.78280.89470.87311.31351.45960.9665
19680.94661.31950.97660.81140.92070.93640.91201.28511.52421.0703
19690.98781.45510.99710.99300.73860.77840.98081.40511.62741.1071
19700.79581.17380.86350.91220.95120.87990.99781.21351.50601.0326
19710.94791.41771.03830.98120.97130.95150.98981.30201.55481.1283
19721.32281.75471.19251.13651.09271.01311.10761.66091.80771.3431
19731.00151.47541.09991.22181.02701.12451.15051.73451.86011.2995
19740.91161.44701.22331.09011.04031.02651.11451.46371.79951.2352
19750.79241.35701.20270.99141.13571.05811.11751.67381.75121.2311
19761.11521.68281.16161.07360.94461.12971.17941.68381.91881.3210
19771.19611.65751.09991.23771.14361.17131.28121.80561.99041.3982
19781.24801.74351.16161.30111.31781.15301.33011.74771.93361.4374
19791.25781.84471.13081.11450.90211.17471.38891.59711.79601.3563
19801.50102.02381.55221.47681.38871.35601.43081.84392.08641.6289
19811.47132.04411.60361.52461.41411.23801.41591.74382.09931.6172
19821.67292.34361.58311.55361.23601.40931.44581.91952.15941.7026
19831.82602.41641.68591.76401.39951.41101.48672.11192.33371.8261
19841.46571.91351.57281.66281.48291.48261.48071.91902.27731.6953
19851.38552.01271.61391.42901.26651.32471.53062.02562.25011.6487
19861.43692.02991.72701.47111.55541.46611.58251.99482.29881.7292
19871.64012.27071.72701.57151.45451.73721.65832.11342.24151.8238
19881.54031.92571.73731.64081.59181.24001.70921.87022.11371.7077
19891.38112.12911.65501.37951.43281.40131.69721.99322.24671.7018
19901.58362.26471.71671.47771.60921.63261.68932.09742.27601.8163
19911.74572.42561.81951.64781.63721.77401.62742.17112.33201.9089
19921.94922.57331.99431.87751.85582.11491.59252.33962.59902.0996
19931.85882.43571.90181.83351.65612.03681.64042.31222.58062.0284
19941.59992.23731.84011.62531.78261.81901.69132.10082.43171.9031
19951.61932.34561.99431.70321.69101.75091.73022.00402.33261.9079
19961.62122.26261.94291.72701.75371.62291.71921.84962.23901.8598
19971.91422.68161.94291.74901.51521.84411.83102.11232.33371.9915
19981.86582.63002.13821.98491.50351.89571.96472.49202.35952.0927
19991.51492.23532.03541.75091.66341.73781.92372.19312.40661.9401
20001.50692.21202.01481.55261.78891.74941.94271.98932.40401.9068
20011.47782.18071.72701.46101.61671.63141.99961.83462.31881.8053
20021.93412.60772.19991.97502.08031.66312.08742.23452.55392.1484
20032.05552.70992.11762.14801.93362.03402.05942.22292.69862.2199
20041.97622.73012.11761.97131.87661.80622.10342.17492.60742.1515
20052.03712.77362.17932.09491.95001.81792.15922.31062.63752.2178
20062.07032.88602.26162.17401.95481.90942.19412.34282.74902.2824
20071.97042.79292.42602.17892.15162.00092.19022.47752.66192.3167
20081.93172.84752.37462.10971.92491.96272.16122.37882.76912.2734
20092.06482.90222.33352.09572.16622.18392.16822.45722.65202.3360
20102.04592.85662.17932.22131.86592.18562.28892.47272.62972.3051
20111.99632.95172.55972.28692.41722.10752.29992.44872.77862.4274
20122.12733.12482.44662.22582.14262.19902.30692.80732.93062.4790
20132.15993.10352.41582.34872.20692.32052.34182.70352.92672.5030
20142.20223.24622.59052.41132.27012.37212.39372.72013.00212.5787
20152.36203.34642.63162.36662.19732.50352.51942.72323.11212.6402
20162.41523.21592.68302.56322.37062.52522.52542.66633.07382.6710
20172.14373.20672.46712.48622.29192.24752.34382.67443.01262.5416
20182.25713.35552.84752.48302.35122.40892.21012.74232.99862.6282

Data-based Products

CMEMS

1960
1980
2000
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
GtC

Landschützer

1960
1980
2000
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
GtC

Rödenbeck

1960
1980
2000
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
GtC

MPM (multi-product mean)

1960
1980
2000
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
GtC

Unit GtC/year

YearCMEMSLandschützerRödenbeckMPM (multi-product mean)
1959----
1960----
1961----
1962----
1963----
1964----
1965----
1966----
1967----
1968----
1969----
1970----
1971----
1972----
1973----
1974----
1975----
1976----
1977----
1978----
1979----
1980----
1981----
1982-1.36241.71611.5393
1983-1.39621.70631.5512
1984-1.37371.80491.5893
19850.91201.26111.81481.3293
19861.03591.36241.80491.4011
19871.21611.52011.70631.4808
19881.27241.32871.60771.4029
19891.24981.21611.38081.2822
19901.36241.36241.45971.3949
19911.52011.47501.87401.6230
19921.59891.52012.19941.7728
19931.61011.57641.91341.7000
19941.62141.46381.52881.5380
19951.62141.31741.57811.5056
19961.57641.20481.31181.3643
19971.73401.44121.61751.5976
19981.64391.19351.94301.5935
19991.48630.92331.48931.2996
20001.48630.93461.43011.2837
20011.44120.92331.00601.1235
20021.63271.18231.76551.5268
20031.70021.44122.06131.7343
20041.71151.47502.09091.7592
20051.75651.61011.75561.7074
20061.90291.72271.66681.7642
20071.90291.77901.57811.7533
20081.92541.88041.72601.8439
20092.11682.10562.11072.1110
20102.11682.04932.16982.1120
20112.03802.13942.15012.1092
20122.13942.25202.12052.1706
20132.21822.09432.33752.2167
20142.34202.12812.48552.3185
20152.58972.26322.04162.2982
20162.76992.34202.58412.5653
20172.86002.36452.44602.5568
20183.10772.60102.29812.6689