Global Carbon Budget 2020

A newer version of this dataset is available. The latest version available on Openclimatedata is 2024.

Published: December 11, 2020

Citation: Friedlingstein et al., Global Carbon Budget 2020. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-3269-2020

Data: Global Carbon Project. (2020). Supplemental data of Global Carbon Budget 2020 (Version 1.0) [Data set]. Global Carbon Project. https://doi.org/10.18160/gcp-2020

Changelog:
  • 2019 total anthropogenic CO₂ emissions: 11.5 ± 0.9 GtC/year (42.2 ± 3.3 GtCO₂/year).
  • 2019 growth in fossil CO₂ was only about 0.1 % with fossil emissions increasing to 9.9 ± 0.5 GtC/year excluding the cement carbonation sink (9.7 ± 0.5 GtC/year when cement carbonation sink is included)
  • 2019 global atmospheric CO₂ concentration: 409.85 ± 0.1 ppm
  • inclusion of cement carbonation sink in budget calculations

Ocean CO₂ sink (positive values represent a flux from the atmosphere to the ocean)

All values in billion tonnes of carbon per year (GtC/yr), for the globe. For values in billion tonnes of carbon dioxide per year (GtCO₂/yr), multiply the numbers below by 3.664.
1 billion tonnes C = 1 petagram of carbon (10^15 gC) = 1 gigatonne C = 3.664 billion tonnes of CO₂
Methods: The ocean sink (uncertainty of ±0.4 GtC/yr on average) is estimated from the average of several global ocean biogeochemistry models that reproduce the observed mean ocean sink of the 1990s. Cite as: Friedlingstein et al (2020; see summary tab)
Note: the data products include a pre-industrial steady state source of CO₂ from rivers (of about 0.61 GtC/yr) and therefore are not directly comparable with the ocean model results Cite individual estimates as:
Model results used to compute the annual values:
  • CESM_ETH Doney, S. C., Lima, I., Feely, R. A., Glover, D. M., Lindsay, K., Mahowald, N., Moore, J. K., and Wanninkhof, R.: Mech- anisms governing interannual variability in upper-ocean inor- ganic carbon system and air–sea CO₂ fluxes: Physical cli- mate and atmospheric dust, Deep-Sea Res. Pt. II, 56, 640–655, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2008.12.006, 2009.
  • CSIRO Law, R. M., Ziehn, T., Matear, R. J., Lenton, A., Chamberlain, M. A., Stevens, L. E., Wang, Y.-P., Srbinovsky, J., Bi, D., Yan, H., and Vohralik, P. F.: The carbon cycle in the Australian Commu- nity Climate and Earth System Simulator (ACCESS-ESM1) – Part 1: Model description and pre-industrial simulation, Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 2567–2590, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10- 2567-2017, 2017
  • FESOM-1.4-REcoM2 Hauck, J., Zeising, M., Le Quéré, C., Gruber, N., Bakker, D. C. E., Bopp, L., et al. (2020). Consistency and Challenges in the Ocean Carbon Sink Estimate for the Global Carbon Budget. Frontiers in Marine Science, 7. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.571720
  • MPIOM-HAMOCC6 Paulsen, H., Ilyina, T., Six, K. D. and Stemmler, I.: Incorporating a prognostic representation of marine nitrogen fixers into the global ocean biogeochemical model HAMOCC, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 9(1), 438–464, doi:10.1002/2016MS000737, 2017.
  • NEMO3.6-PISCESv2-gas (CNRM) Berthet, S., Séférian, R., Bricaud, C., Chevallier, M., Voldoire, A., & Ethé, C. ( 2019). Evaluation of an online grid‐coarsening algorithm in a global eddy‐admitting ocean biogeochemical model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11, 1759– 1783. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001644
  • NEMO-PlankTOM5 Buitenhuis, E. T., Hashioka, T., Le Quéré, C. (2013) Combined constraints on global ocean primary production using observations and models Global Biogeochemical Cycles 27. pp. 847-858 doi:10.1002/gbc.20074
  • MICOM-HAMOCC (NorESM-OCv1.2) Schwinger, J., Goris, N., Tjiputra, J. F., Kriest, I., Bentsen, M., Bethke, I., Ilicak, M., Assmann, K. M., and Heinze, C.: Evaluation of NorESM-OC (versions 1 and 1.2), the ocean carbon-cycle stand-alone configuration of the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM1), Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 2589-2622, 2016.
  • MOM6-COBALT (Princeton) Liao, E., Resplandy, L., Liu, J. and Bowman, K. W.: Amplification of the Ocean Carbon Sink During El Niños: Role of Poleward Ekman Transport and Influence on Atmospheric CO 2, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 34(9), doi:10.1029/2020GB006574, 2020.
  • NEMO-PISCES (IPSL) Aumont, O., Ethé, Tagliabue, A., Bopp, L., & Gehlen, M. (2015). PISCES-v2: an ocean biogeochemical model for carbon and ecosystem studies.
  • Data products used to evaluate the results:
  • Landschützer Landschützer, P., Gruber, N., and Bakker, D. C. E.: Decadal variations and trends of the global ocean carbon sink, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 30, 1396–1417, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GB005359, 2016
  • Rödenbeck Rödenbeck, C., Bakker, D. C. E., Metzl, N., Olsen, A., Sabine, C., Cassar, N., Reum, F., Keeling, R. F., and Heimann, M.: Interannual sea–air CO₂ flux variability from an observation-driven ocean mixed-layer scheme, Biogeosciences, 11, 4599-4613, 2014.
  • CMEMS Denvil-Sommer, A., Gehlen, M., Vrac, M., and Mejia, C.: LSCE-FFNN-v1: a two-step neural network model for the reconstruction of surface ocean pCO₂ over the global ocean, Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 2091–2105, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2091-2019, 2019.
  • CSIR-ML6 Gregor, L., Lebehot, A. D., Kok, S. and Scheel Monteiro, P. M.: A comparative assessment of the uncertainties of global surface ocean CO₂ estimates using a machine-learning ensemble (CSIR-ML6 version 2019a)-Have we hit the wall?, Geosci. Model Dev., 12(12), 5113–5136, doi:10.5194/gmd-12-5113-2019, 2019.
  • Watson et al. Watson, A. J., Schuster, U., Shutler, J. D., Holding, T., Ashton, I. G. C., Landschützer, P., Woolf, D. K. and Goddijn-Murphy, L.: Revised estimates of ocean-atmosphere CO₂ flux are consistent with ocean carbon inventory, Nat. Commun., 11(1), 1–6, doi:10.1038/s41467-020-18203-3, 2020.

GCB

GCB

1960
1980
2000
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

1 sigma uncertainty

1960
1980
2000
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5
0.55
0.6
GtC

Unit GtC/year

YearGCB1 sigma uncertainty
19590.86140.2700
19600.83910.2400
19610.71650.2400
19620.76840.2800
19630.91740.3000
19641.11130.2800
19651.23100.3400
19661.18810.3300
19670.99480.2900
19681.06760.3000
19691.10840.3500
19701.03280.2900
19711.09730.3100
19721.33360.3900
19731.30080.3900
19741.21390.3600
19751.17600.3900
19761.28200.4300
19771.39040.4000
19781.44680.3700
19791.32150.4100
19801.63360.3900
19811.61700.3900
19821.70930.4500
19831.86550.4700
19841.73110.4100
19851.62850.4700
19861.70080.4400
19871.80720.4600
19881.70760.4000
19891.66540.4800
19901.79270.4600
19911.90430.4700
19922.13100.5000
19932.06930.4900
19941.92970.4500
19951.92410.4400
19961.87900.4200
19971.98570.5100
19982.10000.5100
19991.90840.4700
20001.86650.4700
20011.77100.4800
20022.15920.5100
20032.23530.5200
20042.13680.5300
20052.20790.5200
20062.26220.5500
20072.29950.5100
20082.21530.5600
20092.28330.5400
20102.27340.5300
20112.38590.5400
20122.44050.6000
20132.47790.5700
20142.56400.5800
20152.60780.6100
20162.68350.5500
20172.52000.5800
20182.56110.6100
20192.62600.6000

Individual Models

CESM-ETH

1960
1980
2000
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

CNRM

1960
1980
2000
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

CSIRO

1960
1980
2000
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
GtC

FESOM

1960
1980
2000
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
GtC

IPSL

1960
1980
2000
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

MPI

1960
1980
2000
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
GtC

NorESM

1960
1980
2000
1.5
2
2.5
3
GtC

PlankTOM

1960
1980
2000
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

Princeton

1960
1980
2000
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

MMM (multi-model mean)

1960
1980
2000
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

Model Spread (sd)

1960
1980
2000
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
GtC

Unit GtC/year

YearCESM-ETHCNRMCSIROFESOMIPSLMPINorESMPlankTOMPrincetonMMM (multi-model mean)Model Spread (sd)
19590.94580.78831.03161.01310.83110.80101.10300.89070.34780.86140.2087
19600.88660.76831.03161.03300.70780.73181.07420.83650.48210.83910.1806
19610.62060.49890.89140.90390.58560.72191.01010.79940.41690.71650.1892
19620.72470.43901.00150.84430.61600.65261.18740.93990.51010.76840.2307
19630.89650.62861.18180.93370.81100.72191.35411.06420.66450.91740.2309
19640.98911.04771.19181.22170.98120.89991.46161.28690.92201.11130.1791
19651.13041.31711.44221.12241.05751.01851.65111.47250.86691.23100.2396
19661.05361.15741.28201.12240.96020.97901.65481.53070.95311.18810.2400
19670.86540.95791.05161.00320.85790.80101.46031.22270.73360.99480.2146
19681.03130.97781.28200.86410.95010.91961.52781.21870.83681.06760.2161
19691.05780.87811.42220.94361.00650.72191.62431.34210.97921.10840.2746
19700.88030.91801.18181.00320.83440.91961.50931.14650.90201.03280.2024
19711.03100.95791.36210.91380.85880.96911.55391.23480.99421.09730.2208
19721.40171.04771.66261.01311.21651.07781.81351.62291.14651.33360.2839
19731.07471.22731.46231.10251.05131.00861.86171.69621.22271.30080.2880
19740.99021.05771.45221.08271.01591.00861.80131.43741.07941.21390.2673
19750.88281.07761.33210.93370.87771.12731.74941.61590.98721.17600.3033
19761.19951.15741.62250.92371.02480.95921.91571.67511.06031.28200.3403
19771.26291.25721.62251.09261.19401.15701.98941.69211.24581.39040.2868
19781.32361.24721.70261.24161.26231.30531.93411.71221.29191.44680.2469
19791.32571.23731.79280.96351.21490.88011.79741.55771.12451.32150.3135
19801.57811.43681.96301.46011.51271.40422.09161.77041.48531.63360.2353
19811.55821.31711.98311.49981.45531.42392.09861.68511.53141.61700.2469
19821.75961.43682.23351.53961.58951.25582.15721.86171.55041.70930.3072
19831.90591.47672.29351.70841.77951.40422.33242.13251.75591.86550.3131
19841.54701.55661.89291.68861.53861.47342.28461.93391.66471.73110.2467
19851.47971.34702.00311.41051.43631.28552.25142.02421.41911.62850.3387
19861.51381.49672.05321.43031.55451.55252.30481.92991.47131.70080.2958
19871.70851.76612.29351.42041.72561.46352.24252.06631.57851.80720.3039
19881.62211.29712.00311.65881.59641.59212.11481.84261.64161.70760.2308
19891.47741.42682.18341.41051.45621.40422.25182.01511.36301.66540.3488
19901.65871.63642.28351.48001.63321.58222.27652.09841.48531.79270.3114
19911.81881.79602.44381.59921.70761.63162.32932.15051.66171.90430.3012
19922.03332.15522.59401.81771.91061.85902.60292.32311.88322.13100.2918
19931.94572.08542.44381.84751.94801.64152.58702.29701.82802.06930.2945
19941.68771.93572.25351.72831.80181.79972.43522.09341.63161.92970.2600
19951.70861.86592.37371.74821.86511.71072.32982.01111.70381.92410.2478
19961.70121.71622.32361.73821.81171.77002.24261.87271.73481.87900.2224
19971.99631.89582.71421.58922.03471.53272.32832.02211.75791.98570.3455
19981.95282.03552.69421.90712.10511.50312.36182.34111.99942.10000.3178
19991.59871.79602.36371.77801.65551.68102.40582.15251.74391.90840.2949
20001.59061.77612.32361.58921.69591.79972.40282.08131.53941.86650.3063
20011.55361.67632.29351.34091.69041.64152.32381.96501.45421.77100.3302
20022.00381.75612.71421.82762.13392.08652.55762.38021.97242.15920.3079
20032.12552.12532.81441.86742.08951.92832.68892.32312.15582.23530.3037
20042.05901.85592.82441.78792.03511.85902.60072.24081.96842.13680.3369
20052.12251.87592.85441.92702.13941.93812.63402.29702.08262.20790.3157
20062.15021.92572.94461.97662.16881.94802.75372.32712.16482.26220.3392
20072.05792.02552.85442.07592.22212.14582.66692.47352.17382.29950.2793
20082.00481.96572.91451.80782.08691.90852.76462.38632.09862.21530.3677
20092.15302.18522.93451.74822.19822.14582.65222.44742.08562.28330.3275
20102.12722.19512.87441.85742.21461.87882.62902.46552.21892.27340.3140
20112.08242.08542.96462.11572.24502.40292.77782.51462.28512.38590.2964
20122.25112.17523.11481.96672.35232.14582.93522.79452.22892.44050.3793
20132.27592.30493.09482.10572.36672.16562.92572.72832.33322.47790.3306
20142.32962.33483.20502.22492.52882.28423.00292.75342.41232.56400.3273
20152.49002.45463.27512.16532.58122.22493.12062.78152.37732.60780.3608
20162.54522.52443.16492.50312.67652.40293.07772.69022.56672.68350.2487
20172.26922.22513.14492.26472.24292.30403.01242.72332.49352.52000.3356
20182.45542.23513.29512.30442.11472.37322.99192.79852.48152.56110.3659
20192.60582.53443.26512.27462.21202.35003.05592.80552.53062.62600.3357

Data-based Products

CMEMS

1960
1980
2000
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

CSIR

1960
1980
2000
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

Jena-MLS

1960
1980
2000
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
GtC

MPI-SOMFFN

1960
1980
2000
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
GtC

Watson

1960
1980
2000
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
3.2
3.4
GtC

mean data-products (excl. Watson.)

1960
1980
2000
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
GtC

Unit GtC/year

YearCMEMSCSIRJena-MLSMPI-SOMFFNWatsonmean data-products (excl. Watson.)
1959------
1960------
1961------
1962------
1963------
1964------
1965------
1966------
1967------
1968------
1969------
1970------
1971------
1972------
1973------
1974------
1975------
1976------
1977------
1978------
1979------
1980------
1981------
1982-0.68001.43761.3842-1.1672
1983-0.89581.58741.3942-1.2925
1984-0.97141.45761.4572-1.2954
19850.83320.98221.40771.4394-1.1656
19860.88951.10091.49751.4758-1.2409
19871.08101.30601.57741.6194-1.3959
19881.12601.16561.24791.37432.08671.2285
19891.08101.14411.19801.28032.00521.1758
19901.18231.33831.38771.40962.02931.3295
19911.30621.44631.80701.52241.95471.5205
19921.30621.57582.20631.52222.09231.6526
19931.43001.59741.92681.59082.09301.6362
19941.46381.54341.64731.49391.96931.5371
19951.43001.42471.61731.24061.95811.4282
19961.39631.44631.55741.18661.86801.3966
19971.52011.59741.92681.33432.08691.5946
19981.49761.60822.29621.02872.02031.6077
19991.29491.28441.86690.76161.72681.3019
20001.30621.33831.62730.79481.73941.2667
20011.29491.28441.29780.80021.69401.1693
20021.52011.68372.13651.12261.94851.6157
20031.56521.75932.35611.41742.01021.7745
20041.54261.77012.34611.43742.04741.7741
20051.63271.82402.07661.60152.09741.7837
20061.80161.98592.20631.74362.27031.9344
20071.80162.03991.92681.82692.21641.8988
20081.79042.03992.07661.93342.32071.9601
20091.98182.33132.48592.15682.58692.2389
20101.97052.29892.43602.10332.61362.2022
20111.93672.32052.38602.16852.69212.2029
20121.98182.35292.38602.25532.79262.2440
20132.07192.41762.57572.09052.88232.2889
20142.18452.55792.74542.12842.92262.4041
20152.43222.62272.41602.28722.98602.4395
20162.54482.87092.77542.31683.20162.6270
20172.56732.78462.77542.28483.43192.6030
20182.64612.97892.87522.29443.49882.6987
20192.93892.95732.70552.45513.51302.7642