Global Carbon Budget 2020

A newer version of this dataset is available. The latest version available on Openclimatedata is 2024.

Published: December 11, 2020

Citation: Friedlingstein et al., Global Carbon Budget 2020. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-3269-2020

Data: Global Carbon Project. (2020). Supplemental data of Global Carbon Budget 2020 (Version 1.0) [Data set]. Global Carbon Project. https://doi.org/10.18160/gcp-2020

Changelog:
  • 2019 total anthropogenic CO₂ emissions: 11.5 ± 0.9 GtC/year (42.2 ± 3.3 GtCO₂/year).
  • 2019 growth in fossil CO₂ was only about 0.1 % with fossil emissions increasing to 9.9 ± 0.5 GtC/year excluding the cement carbonation sink (9.7 ± 0.5 GtC/year when cement carbonation sink is included)
  • 2019 global atmospheric CO₂ concentration: 409.85 ± 0.1 ppm
  • inclusion of cement carbonation sink in budget calculations

Land-use change emissions

All values in billion tonnes of carbon per year (GtC/yr), for the globe. For values in billion tonnes of carbon dioxide per year (GtCO₂/yr), multiply the numbers below by 3.664.
1 billion tonnes C = 1 petagram of carbon (10^15 gC) = 1 gigatonne C = 3.664 billion tonnes of CO₂
Methods: The GCB estimate is the average of three bookkeeping models (uncertainty of ±0.7 GtC/yr). Individual results from dynamic global vegetation models are also provided.
Cite as: Friedlingstein et al (2020; see summary tab)
Data below represents the net flux of land-use change, based on the net balance between deforestation and forest regrowth along with other land-use changes
Cite individual estimates as:
  • H&N Houghton, R. A. and Nassikas, A. A.: Global and regional fluxes of carbon from land use and land cover change 1850-2015, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 31, 456-472, 2017.
  • BLUE Hansis, E., Davis, S. J., and Pongratz, J.: Relevance of methodological choices for accounting of land use change carbon fluxes, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29, 1230-1246, 2015.
  • OSCAR Gasser, T., Crepin, L., Quilcaille, Y., Houghton, R. A., Ciais, P. and Obersteiner, M.: Historical CO 2 emissions from land use and land cover change and their uncertainty, Biogeosciences , 4075–4101, 2020.
  • CABLE-POP Haverd, V., Smith, B., Nieradzik, L., Briggs, P. R., Woodgate, W., Trudinger, C. M., Canadell, J. G., and Cuntz, M.: A new version of the CABLE land surface model (Subversion revision r4601) incorporating land use and land cover change, woody vegetation demography, and a novel optimisation-based approach to plant coordination of photosynthesis, Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 2995-3026, 2018.
  • CLASSIC Melton, J. R., Arora, V. K., Wisernig-cojoc, E., Seiler, C., Fortier, M. and Chan, E.: CLASSIC v1.0: the open-source community successor to the Canadian Land Surface Scheme ( CLASS ) and the Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model ( CTEM ) – Part 1: Model framework and site-level performance, , 2825–2850, 2020.
  • CLM5.0 Lawrence, D., Fisher, R., Koven, C., Oleson, K., Swenson, S., et al.: The Community Land Model version 5: Description of new features, benchmarking, and impact of forcing uncertainty, JAMES, accepted, 2019
  • DLEM Tian, H., G. Chen, C. Lu, X. Xu, D. J. Hayes, W. Ren, S. Pan, D.N. Huntzinger, S.C. Wofsy: North American terrestrial CO₂ uptake largely offset by CH4 and N2O emissions: Toward a full accounting of the greenhouse gas budget, Climatic Change, 129:423-426, 2015
  • IBIS Yuan WP, Liu D, Dong WJ, Liu SG, Zhou GS, Yu GR, Zhao TB, Feng JM, Ma ZG, Chen JQ, Chen Y, Chen SP, Han SJ, Huang JP, Li LH, Liu HZ, Liu SM, Ma MG, Wang YF, Xia JZ, Xu WF, Zhang Q, Zhao XQ, Zhao L. 2014. Multiyear precipitation reduction strongly decreases carbon uptake over northern China. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 119, 881-896.
  • ISAM Meiyappan, P., Jain, A. K., and House, J. I.: Increased influence of nitrogen limitation on CO₂ emissions from future land use and land use change, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29, 1524-1548, 2015.
  • ISBA-CTRIP Delire, C., Séférian, R., Decharme, B., Alkama, R., Calvet, J., Carrer, D., Gibelin, A., Joetzjer, E., Morel, X., Rocher, M. and Tzanos, D.: The Global Land Carbon Cycle Simulated With ISBA‐CTRIP: Improvements Over the Last Decade, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 12(9), doi:10.1029/2019MS001886, 2020.
  • JSBACH Mauritsen, T., Bader, J., Becker, T., Behrens, J., Bittner, M., Brokopf, R., Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Crueger, T., Esch, M., Fast, I., Fiedler, S., Popke, D., Gayler, V., Giorgetta, M., Goll, D., Haak, H., Hagemann, S., Hedemann, C., Hohenegger, C., Ilyina, T., Jahns, T., Jimenez Cuesta de la Otero, D., Jungclaus, J., Kleinen, T., Kloster, S., Kracher, D., Kinne, S., Kleberg, D., Lasslop, G., Kornblueh, L., Marotzke, J., Matei, D., Meraner, K., Mikolajewicz, U., Modali, K., Möbis, B., Müller, W., Nabel, J.E.M.S., Nam, C., Notz, D., Nyawira, S., Paulsen, H., Peters, K., Pincus, R., Pohlmann, H., Pongratz, J., Popp, M., Raddatz, T., Rast, S., Redler, R., Reick, C., Rohrschneider, T., Schemann, V., Schmidt, H., Schnur, R., Schulzweida, U., Six, K., Stein, L., Stemmler, I., Stevens, B., von Storch, J., Tian, F., Voigt, A., de Vrese, P., Wieners, K.-H., Wilkenskjeld, S., Roeckner, E. & Winkler, A. (in review). Developments in the MPI-M Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI-ESM1.2) and its response to increasing CO₂.
  • JULES-ES Sellar, A. A., Jones, C. G., Mulcahy, J., Tang, Y., Yool, A., Wiltshire, A., O’Connor, F. M., Stringer, M., Hill, R., Palmieri, J., Woodward, S., Mora, L., Kuhlbrodt, T., Rumbold, S., Kelley, D. I., Ellis, R., Johnson, C. E., Walton, J., Abraham, N. L., Andrews, M. B., Andrews, T., Archibald, A. T., Berthou, S., Burke, E., Blockley, E., Carslaw, K., Dalvi, M., Edwards, J., Folberth, G. A., Gedney, N., Griffiths, P. T., Harper, A. B., Hendry, M. A., Hewitt, A. J., Johnson, B., Jones, A., Jones, C. D., Keeble, J., Liddicoat, S., Morgenstern, O., Parker, R. J., Predoi, V., Robertson, E., Siahaan, A., Smith, R. S., Swaminathan, R., Woodhouse, M. T., Zeng, G. and Zerroukat, M.: UKESM1: Description and evaluation of the UK Earth System Model (accepted), J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 2019MS001739, doi:10.1029/2019MS001739, 2019.
  • LPJ-GUESS Smith, B., Warlind, D., Arneth, A., Hickler, T., Leadley, P., Siltberg, J., and Zaehle, S.: Implications of incorporating N cycling and N limitations on primary production in an individual-based dynamic vegetation model, Biogeosciences, 11, 2027-2054, 2014.
  • LPJ Poulter, B., Frank, D. C., Hodson, E. L., and Zimmermann, N. E.: Impacts of land cover and climate data selection on understanding terrestrial carbon dynamics and the CO₂ airborne fraction, Biogeosciences, 8, 2027-2036, 2011.
  • LPX-Bern Lienert, S. and Joos, F.: A Bayesian ensemble data assimilation to constrain model parameters and land-use carbon emissions, Biogeosciences, 15, 2909-2930, 2018.
  • OCNv2 Zaehle, S. and Friend, A. D.: Carbon and nitrogen cycle dynamics in the O-CN land surface model: 1. Model description, site-scale evaluation, and sensitivity to parameter estimates, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 24, GB1005, 2010
  • ORCHIDEEv3 Vuichard, N., Messina, P., Luyssaert, S., Guenet, B., Zaehle, S., Ghattas, J., Ipsl, L. and Paris-saclay, U.: Accounting for carbon and nitrogen interactions in the global terrestrial ecosystem model ORCHIDEE ( trunk version , rev 4999 ): multi-scale evaluation of gross primary production, , 4751–4779, 2019.
  • SDGVM Walker, A. P., Quaife, T., van Bodegom, P. M., De Kauwe, M. G., Keenan, T. F., Joiner, J., Lomas, M. R., MacBean, N., Xu, C. G., Yang, X. J., and Woodward, F. I.: The impact of alternative trait-scaling hypotheses for the maximum photosynthetic carboxylation rate (V-cmax) on global gross primary production, New Phytologist, 215, 1370-1386, 2017.
  • VISIT Kato, E., Kinoshita, T., Ito, A., Kawamiya, M. and Yamagata, Y.: Evaluation of spatially explicit emission scenario of land-use change and biomass burning using a process-based biogeochemical model, J. Land Use Sci., 8(1), 104–122, doi:10.1080/1747423x.2011.628705, 2013.
  • YIBs Yue, X. and Unger, N.: The Yale Interactive terrestrial Biosphere model version 1.0: description , evaluation and implementation into NASA GISS, , 2399–2417, doi:10.5194/gmd-8-2399-2015, 2015.

GCB

GCB

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
GtC

Unit GtC/year

YearGCB
19591.8042
19601.6594
19611.5936
19621.5559
19631.5112
19641.4675
19651.4222
19661.3918
19671.3734
19681.3668
19691.3727
19701.3584
19711.3359
19721.3063
19731.2978
19741.2686
19751.2531
19761.2350
19771.2205
19781.1928
19791.1630
19801.1972
19811.2124
19821.2137
19831.2446
19841.2785
19851.2954
19861.3191
19871.3401
19881.3696
19891.3914
19901.3590
19911.3474
19921.3495
19931.3511
19941.3448
19951.3352
19961.3182
19971.7884
19981.2464
19991.2302
20001.3781
20011.3333
20021.5009
20031.5460
20041.5136
20051.4175
20061.4956
20071.3117
20081.3573
20091.6007
20101.4567
20111.3814
20121.4857
20131.5334
20141.6490
20151.7049
20161.5552
20171.5211
20181.5536
20191.8026

Bookkeeping methods

BLUE

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
GtC

H&N

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
GtC

OSCAR

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
GtC

Unit GtC/year

YearBLUEH&NOSCAR
19592.71300.99801.7016
19602.37071.02381.5838
19612.18471.05461.5416
19622.08041.06231.5250
19632.00641.01851.5088
19641.95340.96511.4839
19651.90800.90761.4509
19661.87800.84871.4488
19671.84920.83101.4399
19681.82430.84561.4306
19691.79710.88411.4369
19701.72360.90941.4421
19711.68720.89651.4239
19721.66230.86051.3962
19731.63240.84311.4180
19741.60520.80191.3986
19751.58010.78151.3977
19761.56500.76711.3728
19771.55260.74321.3658
19781.53180.68971.3568
19791.51030.65661.3221
19801.63540.62411.3320
19811.68400.60501.3483
19821.72210.59481.3242
19831.74940.65051.3338
19841.78080.69381.3608
19851.79790.71511.3731
19861.82450.75891.3737
19871.85530.80281.3622
19881.88490.80741.4165
19891.90600.84131.4271
19901.65041.04671.3797
19911.52761.16021.3545
19921.43161.26721.3498
19931.36261.32571.3650
19941.30201.36791.3643
19951.25331.38261.3695
19961.19861.37891.3771
19971.64121.87561.8485
19981.07741.33261.3293
19991.04831.30551.3368
20001.47061.23821.4257
20011.33621.22941.4343
20021.63321.30571.5638
20031.83031.22251.5851
20041.71231.25501.5735
20051.50691.23621.5094
20061.51061.33001.6463
20071.39191.08291.4602
20081.50431.09371.4740
20091.82471.18141.7962
20101.65091.11571.6034
20111.60491.07581.4636
20121.87011.06161.5252
20132.03131.00071.5681
20142.25381.05951.6338
20152.25551.14551.7137
20162.26020.81261.5928
20172.20270.74801.6126
20182.30760.74001.6133
20192.55660.98901.8623

Individual Models

CABLE-POP

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
GtC

CLASSIC

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
GtC

CLM5.0

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
GtC

DLEM

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

IBIS

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
GtC

ISAM

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

ISBA-CTRIP

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

JSBACH

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
GtC

JULES-ES

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
GtC

LPJ

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
GtC

LPJ-GUESS

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1
1.5
2
2.5
GtC

LPX-Bern

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
GtC

OCNv2

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
GtC

ORCHIDEE-v3

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
GtC

SDGVM

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0
1
2
3
4
GtC

VISIT

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
GtC

YIBs

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
3.2
3.4
3.6
GtC

MMM (multi-model mean)

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
GtC

Model Spread (sd)

1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
0.4
0.45
0.5
0.55
0.6
0.65
0.7
GtC

Unit GtC/year

YearCABLE-POPCLASSICCLM5.0DLEMIBISISAMISBA-CTRIPJSBACHJULES-ESLPJLPJ-GUESSLPX-BernOCNv2ORCHIDEE-v3SDGVMVISITYIBsMMM (multi-model mean)Model Spread (sd)
19591.88001.58002.32002.60391.85001.60001.56001.22001.66001.50001.83001.22002.28001.18902.38001.89002.26001.81310.4209
19601.64000.35002.14002.73481.38001.66001.40001.10001.63001.11002.08001.23002.39001.31202.81001.66002.13001.69160.6139
19611.61001.23001.96002.19151.29001.01001.27001.04001.80001.09001.64000.82001.81001.17702.32001.61002.06001.52520.4373
19621.49000.22002.05001.84151.52001.02000.89001.12001.92001.07001.75000.82002.03001.18201.81001.78002.09001.44730.5173
19631.83000.44001.96001.90441.58000.82000.86001.24001.87000.93001.09000.36001.74000.88502.82001.56002.11001.41170.6373
19641.67000.17001.96001.87521.69001.07000.84001.21001.77000.99001.62000.77001.76000.99701.68001.51002.10001.39310.5023
19651.23000.63001.55001.72401.48001.35000.96001.30001.94000.70001.68000.81001.81000.92800.63001.62002.02001.31540.4515
19661.63001.32001.70001.46001.35001.01000.83001.28001.83001.00001.42000.62001.60000.91602.14001.57002.06001.39620.4121
19672.09000.61001.90001.75541.68001.07000.78001.17001.83001.04001.81000.92001.71000.88902.23001.64002.30001.49560.5186
19682.15001.14001.85001.92181.46000.97000.79001.26001.88000.99001.85000.79001.61000.86602.62001.47002.26001.52220.5405
19691.3600−0.09001.57002.00031.13000.96000.69001.25001.66001.08001.72000.72001.62000.82401.41001.50002.05001.26200.5218
19701.73001.25001.58001.54741.74001.20000.92001.25001.74001.10001.38000.79001.63000.84701.10001.60002.10001.38260.3553
19711.94000.94001.76001.90851.58000.71000.61001.15001.83001.21002.08000.96001.42000.75502.64001.59002.10001.48140.5600
19721.54001.38001.59001.37041.46000.80000.59001.18001.68001.08001.96000.83001.53000.61101.25001.41002.07001.31360.4150
19731.68001.69001.65001.92831.09000.81000.64001.13001.47001.07001.78000.68001.28000.81302.95001.51002.20001.43360.5826
19742.00000.92001.85002.12081.58000.42000.61001.20001.75001.31002.37000.94001.69000.95303.14001.50002.39001.57320.6879
19751.54000.78001.81001.58742.05000.63000.84001.24001.78001.11001.49000.51002.05000.65302.23001.57002.29001.42120.5674
19761.61000.72001.81002.15211.38000.73000.56001.07001.83001.32001.62000.74001.83000.62702.34001.67002.30001.42990.5797
19771.94000.81001.82001.62971.42000.97000.55001.18001.55001.04000.91000.27001.51000.24201.35001.56002.25001.23540.5497
19782.13001.09001.90001.82161.45000.89000.56000.88001.67001.22002.15000.95001.63000.72402.82001.59002.21001.51090.6027
19791.98000.66001.65001.77721.72000.97000.72001.62001.75000.86001.34000.77001.78000.56700.99001.64002.31001.35910.5182
19801.63000.74001.77001.21881.69000.95000.67001.26001.58000.91000.79000.77001.66000.36600.93001.85002.31001.24090.5143
19811.73001.28002.01001.68451.53000.82000.71001.57001.70001.13001.62000.78001.51000.70702.60001.63002.49001.50010.5441
19821.75000.47001.99001.83991.63001.23000.82001.58001.88001.21001.88000.82001.88000.76300.75001.78002.40001.45130.5408
19832.11001.04002.17001.81691.42001.10000.96001.76001.71001.06000.84001.00001.44000.46201.96001.77002.39001.47110.5272
19841.86001.03001.86002.38762.19000.80000.96001.59001.70001.20001.97001.01001.79000.68701.69001.78002.52001.58970.5362
19851.31000.85001.92002.25101.60001.04000.95001.54001.76001.18002.39000.96001.74000.64301.79001.88002.59001.55260.5499
19861.82001.18002.40001.70171.85001.02001.02001.71001.88001.22001.79000.94001.74000.63001.55001.68002.61001.57300.5026
19872.33000.75002.20002.14081.68001.10000.92001.73001.71001.04001.02000.88001.62000.35401.31001.62002.54001.46730.5964
19882.37000.30002.23001.91931.92000.98000.88001.78001.80001.00000.93000.74001.58000.64602.32001.90002.61001.52380.6795
19891.54001.38002.21002.37772.13001.03000.77002.06002.05001.03001.94000.69002.00000.95402.42001.87002.81001.72130.6204
19901.98001.83002.16001.96581.41001.32001.19001.69001.75001.07002.14000.90001.81000.50301.62001.51002.75001.62350.5196
19912.13001.19001.88001.83401.59000.99001.07001.32001.80000.95001.27000.61001.71000.68401.15001.52002.62001.43050.5132
19921.51001.07001.73001.64571.49001.07000.76001.34001.97000.89001.38000.73001.53000.40301.00001.53002.46001.32400.4892
19931.63000.89001.74001.97701.10000.85000.58001.20001.75000.98002.15000.83001.24000.58101.32001.44002.33001.32870.5165
19941.96000.38001.92001.10671.44000.97000.94000.99001.84000.76000.80000.14001.78000.52300.48001.48002.42001.17230.6303
19951.43001.34001.66001.33351.51000.83000.63001.27001.92000.65001.09000.33001.34000.45801.68001.44002.47001.25770.5352
19961.52000.99001.47001.67821.71000.84000.65001.15001.90000.82002.38000.78001.43000.54401.77001.52002.28001.37840.5359
19971.77001.70001.56001.64941.01000.84000.65001.37002.03000.87001.70000.77001.44000.37202.36001.44002.32001.40300.5603
19982.05001.09001.72000.78431.29000.95000.94001.66001.65000.75001.00000.28001.45000.44301.70001.27002.43001.26220.5508
19991.78000.51001.71001.70722.12000.76000.83001.45002.11000.80001.13000.42001.63000.64701.61001.55002.57001.37260.6098
20001.45000.97001.66001.85841.58000.81000.55001.46002.00001.06001.45000.50001.64000.60401.82001.69002.85001.40900.5897
20011.66001.35002.17001.73831.77001.55001.15001.52001.94000.91001.60000.45001.97000.67201.69001.41002.86001.55350.5508
20021.77001.79001.92001.27911.80001.13001.28001.62001.82000.87001.06000.46001.52000.3250−0.22001.48002.75001.33260.6805
20032.29001.27002.24002.10041.72001.32001.04002.03001.74001.24001.37001.15001.75000.67102.07001.78003.06001.69660.5611
20042.01002.11002.71002.32051.74001.59001.41001.74001.85001.38002.68001.31001.84000.84702.97001.58003.12001.95340.6090
20051.39000.88002.50002.07751.80002.07001.72001.47001.68001.00001.62000.72001.87000.53402.23001.43003.01001.64710.6240
20061.89001.99001.92001.73972.06001.18001.35001.63001.86001.06001.39000.62001.77000.48902.22001.66002.66001.61700.5392
20072.30001.50001.85001.70331.65001.21001.29001.86001.87000.99001.42000.45001.57000.53701.40001.66002.74001.52940.5467
20082.43001.16002.11002.09722.48001.10001.35002.03002.09001.25002.01001.07001.96000.71401.67001.73002.85001.77070.5676
20091.70001.31001.87002.03301.83001.25001.24001.96001.80001.61001.80000.82001.90000.49301.11001.99002.89001.62390.5336
20102.35002.64002.69002.02622.05002.46002.08002.25001.35001.46002.55001.34002.09000.98004.18001.76003.13002.19920.7358
20112.53002.29001.87002.63652.28001.63001.94002.00002.02001.50002.43000.69001.99000.64201.94001.74002.93001.94460.5884
20121.87000.80001.88001.58682.42001.33001.64001.92001.98001.33000.68000.45002.01000.54801.15001.77003.15001.55970.6820
20132.30002.69002.54002.16371.82002.58001.59002.18001.91001.78002.60001.10002.19001.10902.10001.88003.24002.10430.5362
20142.54003.14002.59002.54772.06002.05002.26002.41002.04001.84002.97001.40002.10001.04302.19001.85003.31002.25530.5637
20152.15001.62002.80002.15942.09002.23002.42002.42002.06001.60001.89001.20002.27000.64502.08001.55003.23002.02440.5782
20162.32003.32002.82002.17242.00001.69002.19002.44001.97001.75001.88001.19001.98001.05803.09002.04003.39002.19410.6406
20172.66002.84002.69002.44632.14002.05002.62002.23002.23001.84002.93001.57002.70001.21602.15001.89003.62002.34250.5517
20183.04002.75002.51002.35492.31002.54002.60002.40002.39001.54002.38001.41002.80001.37401.77002.20003.30002.33350.5268
20192.55003.29002.97002.45432.21000.90002.38002.23002.30001.63002.50001.36002.32001.09201.54001.67003.32002.15980.6863